Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe45c96dd85d3f3be3bd7145de17e3883c9115cb789e0819c2b085d101104aa68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 47c | 2,276$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.89 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…9044backed No | 51c | 799.99$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.38 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 33c | 438.66$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 57c | 372.41$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.81 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 53c | 334.32$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.87 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 52c | 310.38$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.59 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 72c | 309.15$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 4c | 299.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 58c | 252.66$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 37c | 232.52$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 60c | 229.08$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1586…cd6cbacked Yes | 30c | 207.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 53c | 200.57$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 48c | 194.14$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 6c | 184.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed Yes | 8c | 178.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 44c | 146.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 24c | 141.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 64c | 139.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 130.81$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 37c | 125$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…0cc4backed Yes | 51c | 118.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 58c | 114.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 25c | 112$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 76c | 111$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 45c | 107.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 58c | 102.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 50c | 98.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 96.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 57c | 95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 73c | 94.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 27c | 83.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 34c | 77.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed No | 71c | 76.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 62c | 70.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 47c | 63.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 58c | 57.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 27c | 54.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 41c | 54.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…8ed1backed No | 76c | 50.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…02e9backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 31c | 44.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 52c | 43.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 57c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 42.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 27c | 41.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…cd79backed No | 65c | 38.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 31c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 54c | 34.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…93f1backed No | 72c | 32.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 47c | 31.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 59c | 31.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…8474backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1784…7bafbacked Yes | 67c | 29.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…7be5backed No | 51c | 29.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed No | 68c | 28.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 74c | 28.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 25.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Yes | 43c | 24.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…08dfbacked No | 60c | 24.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 59c | 23.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 64c | 22.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 73c | 21.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a78…f457backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 60c | 18.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed No | 72c | 16.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 77c | 14.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.