TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bunschoten: Tom Gentzsch vs Jan Kumstat

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tom Gentzschof Tom Gentzsch, Jan Kumstat
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,762 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32b4…8b21backed Jan Kumstat15c6,298$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.653,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jan Kumstat37c6,252$2,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.4811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Jan Kumstat44c4,360$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.5472452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Jan Kumstat16c4,248$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.544,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Tom Gentzsch59c3,891$2,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.233256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Tom Gentzsch62c2,595$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.11,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Jan Kumstat40c2,434$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9707462.2%46 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Tom Gentzsch55c2,094$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.3961152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Tom Gentzsch56c1,609$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.091,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tom Gentzsch74c1,497$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.624,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jan Kumstat9c1,471$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.088,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Tom Gentzsch62c1,347$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.268259.8%49 W · 33 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Tom Gentzsch56c1,346$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.652,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Tom Gentzsch74c1,328$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.793,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Jan Kumstat46c1,196$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55070041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Tom Gentzsch69c1,175$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.441,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jan Kumstat26c1,041$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.598,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Jan Kumstat6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Jan Kumstat38c672.32$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.481,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Tom Gentzsch57c604.26$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8333558.5%196 W · 139 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Jan Kumstat40c599.99$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.757,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Tom Gentzsch57c461$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.237,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Tom Gentzsch58c421.3$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.828933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Tom Gentzsch57c413.31$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7285250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Jan Kumstat15c408.73$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.314,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Jan Kumstat44c394.97$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.062,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Tom Gentzsch60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3320452.5%107 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Jan Kumstat34c269.45$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9835747.9%171 W · 186 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Tom Gentzsch56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.861,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Jan Kumstat36c266$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5572638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Jan Kumstat40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027949.1%137 W · 142 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed Tom Gentzsch57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Jan Kumstat19c245$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4463537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7233…6520backed Jan Kumstat44c231.58$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9810951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b9…04a3backed Jan Kumstat44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Jan Kumstat38c216.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4692237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Jan Kumstat46c206.52$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9564350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Tom Gentzsch58c205.51$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.321,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Jan Kumstat43c199.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8683447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Tom Gentzsch75c189.53$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.971,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Jan Kumstat43c188.63$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1140935.7%146 W · 263 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Tom Gentzsch58c180.37$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.214,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe247…edf1backed Tom Gentzsch59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Jan Kumstat18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Jan Kumstat18c161.34$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.762,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae68…7f0cbacked Tom Gentzsch63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7310152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Jan Kumstat30c157.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3344949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Jan Kumstat39c153.86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6332333.7%109 W · 214 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa132…6655backed Jan Kumstat42c153.21$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3512057.5%69 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Tom Gentzsch72c149.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.292,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Tom Gentzsch59c140$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.467848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Tom Gentzsch65c137.75$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2147251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked Tom Gentzsch54c124$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0413466.4%89 W · 45 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Tom Gentzsch59c124$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8481255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Jan Kumstat43c115.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaba4…3fa6backed Jan Kumstat44c109.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.857548%36 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Tom Gentzsch56c109.6$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.62,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Tom Gentzsch55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9139469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x27a4…d44cbacked Tom Gentzsch61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.977065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Jan Kumstat44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Jan Kumstat42c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.385637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Jan Kumstat34c76.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.891,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Jan Kumstat41c75.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.831347.6%149 W · 164 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Jan Kumstat40c74.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8244442.3%188 W · 256 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Tom Gentzsch70c71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Tom Gentzsch57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.124547.8%117 W · 128 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x177d…158abacked Tom Gentzsch57c66.3$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.594551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Tom Gentzsch54c65.61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.181,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Jan Kumstat45c65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9648245.6%220 W · 262 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aca…5d2bbacked Tom Gentzsch60c62.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.849357%53 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Jan Kumstat41c61.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254949%24 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Tom Gentzsch61c59.97$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3920454.9%112 W · 92 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Tom Gentzsch56c55.86$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.582,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Tom Gentzsch69c55.22$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.271,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x273d…fb63backed Jan Kumstat41c54.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.314355.2%79 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tom Gentzsch56c51.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.213,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Jan Kumstat45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.557449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Jan Kumstat45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb4b…f06fbacked Tom Gentzsch61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.186269.4%43 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Tom Gentzsch60c48.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.490152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6384…3d67backed Jan Kumstat42c45.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2412061.7%74 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d59…b22cbacked Tom Gentzsch62c44.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0911650%58 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Tom Gentzsch61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9824159.3%143 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Tom Gentzsch55c39.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.983,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Jan Kumstat45c39.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.647,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee18…f5e9backed Jan Kumstat26c39.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Tom Gentzsch60c37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.897852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Tom Gentzsch57c35.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0881256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Jan Kumstat45c33.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0855941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe055…3157backed Tom Gentzsch62c32.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3210956%61 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Tom Gentzsch55c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Tom Gentzsch75c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.551,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1690…d6c4backed Jan Kumstat37c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Tom Gentzsch59c27.56$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.32,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6017…3bfebacked Tom Gentzsch57c27.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.731580%12 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+134.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Tom Gentzsch57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Tom Gentzsch55c26.13$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.761,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Tom Gentzsch62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1922059.5%131 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…7ce5backed Jan Kumstat45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.89239.1%36 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d91…ac49backed Tom Gentzsch55c22.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.065367.9%36 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.