Fifa International · resolved market
Germany to score first vs. Ecuador?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf50e3312d77c2744ddd1932ee7d296b6e18ad7af2360afa52235355819fe52be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 65c | 3,720$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.42 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 34c | 3,130$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.28 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe69d…a199backed No | 33c | 2,999$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 35c | 2,123$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.45 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 62c | 1,835$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.04 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed No | 34c | 1,515$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.09 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…5d9abacked Yes | 68c | 1,442$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.46 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 5c | 1,357$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 35c | 1,214$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.94 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 1,099$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.84 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 32c | 996.78$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.97 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b1…e789backed Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +14.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 38c | 599.98$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 68c | 473.52$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.53 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 32c | 450$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e8…21cfbacked Yes | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 34c | 372.34$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.52 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 35c | 333.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…ef80backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes | 67c | 273.13$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 34c | 256$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 32c | 199.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…1d84backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…6ed6backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 36c | 151.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4a…83a2backed Yes | 65c | 149.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bed…85b8backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…5c13backed Yes | 69c | 145.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…aad8backed Yes | 66c | 145.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked No | 35c | 133.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a87…2500backed No | 35c | 131.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20a…769abacked Yes | 67c | 124.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed4…788dbacked Yes | 62c | 124.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 121.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 30c | 119.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…4168backed Yes | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 33c | 101.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…3ad2backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 30c | 92.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 34c | 80.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…0211backed Yes | 62c | 79.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7390…30a3backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd9…4e22backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c2…6c58backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…e665backed No | 35c | 61.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…6968backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c75…452abacked Yes | 65c | 58.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 67c | 58.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…e544backed Yes | 66c | 54.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…2548backed Yes | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 42c | 50.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…f4eebacked Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…ae6abacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…572fbacked Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdc…0e26backed Yes | 61c | 41.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 32c | 39.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807e…2696backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…6895backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…85edbacked Yes | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…ebe1backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked No | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…d63dbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f5…42c2backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…b44cbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…bad9backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903b…9dc9backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…2429backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a8…3a61backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc106…c26cbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…e4a4backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 35 | 80%28 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…f5a4backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…c74fbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…5dccbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…b80dbacked Yes | 71c | 26.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…0f18backed Yes | 63c | 23.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf1…dc31backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74e…953cbacked Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187e…7272backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…8294backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f1…90ebbacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3932…94bebacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd260…e343backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed Yes | 64c | 20.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…3c91backed Yes | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…2737backed Yes | 61c | 19.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd83f…287dbacked Yes | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany to score first vs. Ecuador?this page
- Ecuador to score first vs. Germany?No won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.