Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5d06e54d6d1a3e4b5d24b3ad15be3e70672f56467c2dd324a8c26fa5e87ed48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x438a…61c4backed Yes | 2c | 8,498$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.49 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f37…1952backed Yes | 0c | 7,655$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked No | 75c | 1,493$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.53 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 9c | 1,058$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 39c | 875.35$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.53 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 44c | 861.93$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.16 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 30c | 758.5$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.88 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 16c | 626.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 33c | 608.06$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.11 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…0939backed Yes | 4c | 593.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 38c | 567.82$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.24 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 40c | 491.17$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.52 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 39c | 480.52$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.61 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 67c | 426.59$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…875bbacked No | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…8c79backed Yes | 22c | 379.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 61c | 364.08$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.85 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 54c | 353.08$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.65 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 71c | 348.69$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 57c | 345.21$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.62 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 12c | 343.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…953fbacked Yes | 46c | 336.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 31c | 327.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 70c | 325$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…54e9backed Yes | 7c | 300.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 136 | 14.7%20 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…5cd7backed No | 69c | 300$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 67c | 296.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 35c | 295.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 32c | 286.61$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.41 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 56c | 273.89$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.53 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 59c | 270.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 41c | 248.7$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.89 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20d0…1845backed No | 40c | 231.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 48c | 231.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 56c | 215.63$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 52c | 210.73$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.61 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 47c | 210.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed Yes | 59c | 208.7$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 208.33$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3862…aa32backed No | 71c | 206.58$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 46c | 199.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked Yes | 27c | 191.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 39c | 182.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 62c | 182.02$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62a…de09backed Yes | 52c | 174.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…acf6backed Yes | 44c | 166.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 165.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 28c | 156.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 71c | 155.44$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…12c4backed Yes | 39c | 152.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 71c | 147$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed No | 61c | 143.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e5…6412backed No | 42c | 140.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 133.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 80c | 125.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 40c | 125.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 54c | 125.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed No | 73c | 122.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 21c | 120.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 37c | 119.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 31c | 116.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 27c | 113.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 22c | 111.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 36c | 109.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 23c | 107.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 29c | 105.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…388fbacked Yes | 36c | 105.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 24c | 103.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e42abacked Yes | 47c | 102.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 34c | 100.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…798dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed Yes | 50c | 90.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 59c | 86.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 80c | 85.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03b…a317backed Yes | 49c | 84.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 43c | 83.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 63c | 82.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 25c | 81.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 25c | 80.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c28…a73bbacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 22c | 77.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 49c | 76.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 45c | 75.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 77c | 74.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 47c | 72.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 32c | 72.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 184 | 41.3%76 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…2cdabacked Yes | 41c | 72.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…4ea8backed Yes | 42c | 70.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…bdedbacked No | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 76c | 69.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.