Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5222d81548b9829d33d9b0fd67d1f139ec8956c564d2ee86af1368ffd4065185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 2c | 1,795$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 66c | 978.83$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.42 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 858.51$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.81 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 60c | 767$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.49 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 34c | 633.46$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.03 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 58c | 578.35$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.31 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 34c | 577.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.33 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 75c | 541.69$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.76 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 66c | 517.18$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.04 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 12c | 504.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 66c | 499.87$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.92 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 18c | 496.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.61 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Yes | 69c | 489.82$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…6ff7backed Yes | 48c | 310.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 47c | 307.35$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.12 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 35c | 289.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.52 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 40c | 270.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.48 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 50c | 270.65$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.14 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 33c | 268.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.76 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 44c | 265.71$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 262.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 52c | 261.62$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 51c | 260.94$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 37c | 248.45$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.21 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 34c | 223.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 35c | 218.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.32 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 46c | 208.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 23c | 205.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 67c | 196.21$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…1a16backed Yes | 46c | 195.87$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 28c | 193.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.38 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 36c | 182.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 32c | 171.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 55c | 162$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8b…560bbacked Yes | 25c | 152.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 78c | 144.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 42c | 128.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 123.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 35c | 120.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 66c | 116.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 73c | 106.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…14ccbacked No | 68c | 105.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 32c | 105$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 42c | 103.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 33c | 102.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 34c | 100.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…1646backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…798dbacked Yes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 67c | 98.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 40c | 94.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 61c | 94.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 55c | 86.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 27c | 85.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aea…5098backed Yes | 36c | 83.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 66c | 81.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 29c | 81.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 46c | 75.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 59c | 74.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…af3ebacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…ab05backed Yes | 69c | 73.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Yes | 23c | 71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 67c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 33c | 68.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 35c | 66.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 68c | 64.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 57c | 64.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…67a5backed No | 16c | 63.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 48c | 62.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…953fbacked Yes | 20c | 60.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe442…1e49backed Yes | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 57c | 59.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 62c | 56.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 42c | 56.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 64c | 55.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 31c | 55.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 36c | 54.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 31c | 54.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 46c | 53.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 64c | 53.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 36c | 51.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…71adbacked Yes | 32c | 51.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 36c | 51.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 58c | 50.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e5…6412backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…5d2abacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 39c | 49.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 29c | 48.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…2959backed Yes | 42c | 48.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 26c | 45.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 35c | 45.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Yes | 69c | 43.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Yes | 76c | 43.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 55c | 41.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0f…652ebacked Yes | 61c | 41.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.