MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb88b7f5bb4c1fcf766351e9818f515f774fca60843f350fe2befc67a90d5b6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 45c | 80,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,999.98 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 55c | 74,241$40,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,832.77 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 19,219$10,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,470.41 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Under | 50c | 19,019$9,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,591.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 15,818$8,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,620.24 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 45c | 15,555$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,555.25 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +9.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 56c | 9,170$5,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,135.2 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 46c | 8,104$3,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,376.16 | 224 | 47.3%106 W · 118 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 45c | 8,046$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445.54 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 56c | 7,312$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.22 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 44c | 5,636$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.36 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 3,102$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.06 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 2,980$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.28 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 2,773$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.26 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 49c | 2,501$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.51 | 343 | 53.4%183 W · 160 L | +18.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 2,407$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.49 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 47c | 2,057$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.51 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 2,048$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 46c | 1,897$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.35 | 325 | 52.9%172 W · 153 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Over | 48c | 1,839$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.27 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 56c | 1,702$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.95 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 1,650$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.25 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 54c | 1,644$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.76 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 53c | 1,336$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.82 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,010$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.8 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Over | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 46c | 956$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.25 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 46c | 888.45$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.76 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 54c | 888$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.52 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 54c | 753.74$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.06 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 51c | 571.37$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.97 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked Under | 53c | 562.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 555$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 57c | 509$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.13 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 48c | 416.47$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.42 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 400$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 52c | 394.12$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.94 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 51c | 392.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over | 45c | 390$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 55c | 286.31$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.47 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 44c | 268$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 50c | 256$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe044…019abacked Over | 73c | 244.14$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 53c | 236$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.62 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 232.54$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.33 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Over | 51c | 195.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 155$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 51c | 152.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 44c | 149.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 45c | 149.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 148.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 42c | 137$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 46c | 129$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Over | 50c | 124.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Under | 53c | 106$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 50c | 84.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 50c | 84.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 79.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 44c | 78.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 671 | 52.5%352 W · 319 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 51c | 76.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 47c | 67.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Over | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 390 | 49%191 W · 199 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Over | 51c | 59.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Over | 55c | 58.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 242 | 50%121 W · 121 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Over | 44c | 56.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 428 | 49.1%210 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570b…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 56c | 49.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 56c | 49.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 46c | 45.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba85…719cbacked Over | 51c | 44.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…1012backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…eeedbacked Under | 54c | 34.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 55c | 34.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 44c | 34.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 333 | 52.3%174 W · 159 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Over | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…2348backed Over | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Over | 52c | 32.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Under | 48c | 32.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 31.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 50c | 31.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 343 | 55.4%190 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 47c | 30.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 53c | 30.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Under | 55c | 29.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis CardinalsBaltimore Orioles won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.