MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfba3cd2f8e23251472f8e211e99cb766e64a597f18fc701473341b245f544f60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 0c | 56,182$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 149 | 24.2%36 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 15,620$6,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,783.41 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 12,069$6,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,988.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 11,900$4,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,521.99 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 8,783$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.71 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 8,359$4,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.07 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 7,161$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.02 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 7,129$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.71 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 4,929$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.38 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 4,545$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.6 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 3,444$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.77 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 2,128$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.57 | 155 | 42.6%66 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,212$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.2 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 1,201$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.62 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,168$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.5 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 1,142$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.5 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 831.08$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.06 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 808.53$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.07 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 14c | 691.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 690.48$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.86 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 483$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 445.08$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.34 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 424.37$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.28 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 404.51$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.48 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 7c | 401.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350f…7224backed St. Louis Cardinals | 10c | 398.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 379.96$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.39 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 369.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.57 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 344.67$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.56 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4144…67f6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 284.48$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…8d08backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 282.95$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 223.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 207$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 185.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 172.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 437 | 57%249 W · 188 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 172.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 583 | 58.5%341 W · 242 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953a…624cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 149.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…8268backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 141.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 138.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 133.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 133.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.21 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…e9d9backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 20c | 108.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 108$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…d26ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 65.5%146 W · 77 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 82.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 542 | 55.9%303 W · 239 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 76.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 572 | 44.6%255 W · 317 L | -35.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 67.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 65.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 231 | 42.9%99 W · 132 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 218 | 22.9%50 W · 168 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 58.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 195 | 49.2%96 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…2a95backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…2383backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 51.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…dd4abacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 47.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 354 | 49.2%174 W · 180 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 45.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 242 | 50%121 W · 121 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 41.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 379 | 51.7%196 W · 183 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed St. Louis Cardinals | 28c | 40.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 480 | 49.6%238 W · 242 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…9f18backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…e386backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e28…625cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 62.1%141 W · 86 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 31.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc020…5edbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 257 | 52.9%136 W · 121 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 28.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 28.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…b9bebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 26.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 901 | 45.6%411 W · 490 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 23.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 620 | 49.2%305 W · 315 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 23.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 266 | 51.5%137 W · 129 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 21.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 21.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 802 | 55%441 W · 361 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe244…f755backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 18.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 17.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 16.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 372 | 67.7%252 W · 120 L | +33.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.