TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kennesaw State Owls vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kennesaw State Owlsof Kennesaw State Owls, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed Kennesaw State Owls59c3,983$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.043,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers62c3,519$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.75,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Kennesaw State Owls41c3,517$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.797839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers59c2,538$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.687965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers62c1,806$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.414,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kennesaw State Owls34c1,317$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.281,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers21c1,265$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.771,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers59c1,239$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.82,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers47c1,004$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47527450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers55c716.57$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.372,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Kennesaw State Owls23c714.68$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.081,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers51c600.3$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.071,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kennesaw State Owls29c534.39$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.743,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Kennesaw State Owls50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2505160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab5c…3fbdbacked Kennesaw State Owls23c448.26$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.162142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kennesaw State Owls39c424.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.143,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Kennesaw State Owls45c411.27$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.87250%36 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers75c378$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.1213840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kennesaw State Owls28c365$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.542,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23160548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers25c262.44$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6119050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kennesaw State Owls46c246.61$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.42,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Kennesaw State Owls45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2240252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Kennesaw State Owls22c203$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.341,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers76c202.22$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6916051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers38c140$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.234649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Kennesaw State Owls43c138.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9653635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers78c124.71$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.274,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kennesaw State Owls35c122$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.061,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kennesaw State Owls23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers62c90.46$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.221,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers71c89.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8911958.8%70 W · 49 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers77c89.42$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8525544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Kennesaw State Owls34c87.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2653646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kennesaw State Owls22c78.71$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3952928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers71c70$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.71,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers32c59.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers65c56.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7348051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Kennesaw State Owls44c47.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5919332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Kennesaw State Owls60c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4931666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6872248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5305…57e8backed Kennesaw State Owls36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.63429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6b8…d54cbacked Kennesaw State Owls41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.62119%4 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a81…4f15backed Kennesaw State Owls50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Kennesaw State Owls70c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Kennesaw State Owls55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.217546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x766e…5e85backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers77c19.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3973…8e8abacked Kennesaw State Owls64c17.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.