Tennis · resolved market
Lincoln: Matthew Forbes vs Sebastian Gorzny
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeac4244d781aca0e596e14c4b3c287eda94ea54eba07ba5cb916cad6313f1cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthew Forbesof Matthew Forbes, Sebastian Gorzny
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Sebastian Gorzny | 17c | 8,796$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.08 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Sebastian Gorzny | 32c | 6,063$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matthew Forbes | 68c | 5,740$3,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.23 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sebastian Gorzny | 42c | 3,158$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.62 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matthew Forbes | 77c | 2,338$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.58 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…b51abacked Sebastian Gorzny | 44c | 2,296$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sebastian Gorzny | 11c | 1,608$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.47 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Matthew Forbes | 77c | 1,111$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.57 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sebastian Gorzny | 18c | 799.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.59 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…a0cebacked Matthew Forbes | 49c | 718.84$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.84 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Sebastian Gorzny | 39c | 628.36$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.54 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Matthew Forbes | 64c | 564.07$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.19 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sebastian Gorzny | 42c | 521.19$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Matthew Forbes | 47c | 506$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.64 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Sebastian Gorzny | 43c | 498.28$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.26 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Matthew Forbes | 40c | 443.22$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.4 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Sebastian Gorzny | 24c | 413.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Sebastian Gorzny | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Matthew Forbes | 61c | 377.21$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Sebastian Gorzny | 64c | 313.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 65%76 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Sebastian Gorzny | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Sebastian Gorzny | 11c | 280$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Sebastian Gorzny | 46c | 274$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 11c | 260$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Sebastian Gorzny | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Matthew Forbes | 47c | 221.68$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.68 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Sebastian Gorzny | 11c | 220$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Matthew Forbes | 45c | 219.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Sebastian Gorzny | 35c | 205$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Sebastian Gorzny | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Matthew Forbes | 46c | 196$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Matthew Forbes | 66c | 191.71$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 42c | 186.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…ee4abacked Matthew Forbes | 42c | 164.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Sebastian Gorzny | 59c | 153.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 42c | 153$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Matthew Forbes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…0454backed Matthew Forbes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…f8acbacked Matthew Forbes | 42c | 137$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Matthew Forbes | 67c | 136$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…dc10backed Sebastian Gorzny | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Matthew Forbes | 57c | 127.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Sebastian Gorzny | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Matthew Forbes | 39c | 119$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Sebastian Gorzny | 39c | 117.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 42c | 117.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sebastian Gorzny | 46c | 110.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 17c | 110.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Matthew Forbes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…cc7bbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Matthew Forbes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Sebastian Gorzny | 42c | 83.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Matthew Forbes | 74c | 83.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Matthew Forbes | 48c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Matthew Forbes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Sebastian Gorzny | 58c | 60.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Matthew Forbes | 68c | 60.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…ab75backed Sebastian Gorzny | 34c | 60.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sebastian Gorzny | 35c | 59.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Matthew Forbes | 65c | 57.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Matthew Forbes | 64c | 56.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Sebastian Gorzny | 48c | 50.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Matthew Forbes | 53c | 47.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Sebastian Gorzny | 49c | 45.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Sebastian Gorzny | 38c | 42.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sebastian Gorzny | 40c | 40.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…ed1cbacked Matthew Forbes | 63c | 38.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Sebastian Gorzny | 36c | 35.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Sebastian Gorzny | 37c | 34.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Sebastian Gorzny | 37c | 33.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sebastian Gorzny | 37c | 33.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…3658backed Matthew Forbes | 45c | 31.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Matthew Forbes | 53c | 28.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Matthew Forbes | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Matthew Forbes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Sebastian Gorzny | 60c | 18.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Matthew Forbes | 68c | 17.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lincoln: Matthew Forbes vs Sebastian Gorznythis page
- Set 1 Winner: Forbes vs GorznyForbes won
- Set Handicap: Gorzny (-1.5) vs Forbes (+1.5)Forbes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.