TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5942…0d39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
22
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 53.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34.04
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.2%+$24.26
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$23.44
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Voca (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffsbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.39
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.4
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+80.9%+$11.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+146.7%+$27.03
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+193%+$119.67
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+86.3%+$36.23
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+134.3%+$33.84
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.2
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+156.6%+$19.56
All 20 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.