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Wallet 0x9387…ce77

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$99,667 staked over 231 qualified picks in 24 categories, 13 of 24 below 50.

62

Best category

Tennis

$21,152 staked over 46 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.10 per pick.

See the full Tennis board
57

Second best

College Football

$7,366 staked over 20 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.07 per pick.

See the full College Football board
56

Third best

Other European Leagues

$1,508 staked over 4 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.05 per pick.

See the full Other European Leagues board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be +$701.73 tailing 46 Tennis picks (30 W · 16 L) at $50 each: +30.5% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Tennis picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category24 Categories

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT$21,152before 30%in play 70%, over 46 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min after the start1 h 59to the end, median over 47 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled+0.1698% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 40 of 46 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)4665.2%30 W · 16 L+7.4+0.1649c+30.5%62
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 21, 2026, EDTJapan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Taggeron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Lilli TaggerWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$392+78.6%+$308
Oct 21, 2026, EDTJapan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Ashlyn Kruegeron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ashlyn KruegerWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$600+66.7%+$400
Oct 20, 2026, EDTCali: Matias Soto vs Samuel Herediaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Samuel HerediaLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$490-100%-$490
Oct 20, 2026, EDTFort Worth: Andres Martin vs Erik Arutiunianon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Erik ArutiunianWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$337+156.4%+$526.43
Oct 20, 2026, EDTLyon Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Kyrian Jacqueton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Kyrian JacquetWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$286+144.5%+$413.75
Oct 20, 2026, EDTNingbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Daria Sniguron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Katarzyna KawaWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$194+244.8%+$474.6
Oct 20, 2026, EDTLyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baezon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Pierre-Hugues HerbertWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$173+66.7%+$115.02
Oct 20, 2026, EDTNingbo Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalininaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Anhelina KalininaLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$552-100%-$552
Oct 20, 2026, EDTJapan Women's Open: Maya Joint vs Zeynep Sonmezon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Maya JointLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$192-100%-$192
Oct 20, 2026, EDTGuangzhou 2: Cruz Hewitt vs Rigele Teon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Cruz HewittWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$545+48.9%+$266.39
Oct 20, 2026, EDTNingbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaideron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Diana ShnaiderWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$493+52.3%+$257.5
Oct 20, 2026, EDTNingbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Alycia Parkson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Sara BejlekWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$250+100%+$250
Oct 20, 2026, EDTJapan Women's Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mary Stoianaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Mary StoianaWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$501+36.2%+$181.39
Oct 20, 2026, EDTJapan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Joneson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ann LiWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$449+55.9%+$251
Oct 20, 2026, EDTCali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrioson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Nicolas JarryWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$214+63.9%+$136.5
Oct 19, 2026, EDTFort Worth: Michael Antonius vs Albert Pedrico Kravtsovon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Albert Pedrico KravtsovWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$390+156.4%+$610
Oct 19, 2026, EDTLyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouameon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Moise KouameWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$735+104.1%+$765
Oct 19, 2026, EDTNingbo Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Aliaksandra SasnovichWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$348+72.4%+$252
Oct 19, 2026, EDTNingbo Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Han Shion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Han ShiLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$1,031-100%-$1,031.5
Oct 19, 2026, EDTAlmaty Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs James Duckworthon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)James DuckworthWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$460+117.4%+$540
Oct 19, 2026, EDTNingbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandezon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Leylah FernandezWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$2,202+120.2%+$2,646.72
Oct 19, 2026, EDTJapan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonovaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Lilli TaggerWon (open this pick on its own page)44c$440+127.3%+$560
Oct 18, 2026, EDTShanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodaron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Rafael JodarLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$336-100%-$336
Oct 18, 2026, EDTNingbo Open, Qualification: Han Shi vs Alina Korneevaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Han ShiWon (open this pick on its own page)32c$313+212.5%+$664.08
Oct 18, 2026, EDTJapan Women's Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Aoi Itoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Harriet DartWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$236+38.2%+$90.15
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
College Footballlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT$7,366before 20%in play 80%, over 20 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min after the start3 h 15to the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled+0.16107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2070%14 W · 6 L+2.9+0.1555c+26%57
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 20, 2026, EDTMiddle Tennessee vs. Florida International: O/U 59.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$308+78.6%+$242.19
Oct 18, 2026, EDTNew Mexico vs. Hawai'ion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)New MexicoWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$431+85.2%+$367.13
Oct 18, 2026, EDTUtah vs. Colorado: O/U 41.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$403-100%-$403.07
Oct 17, 2026, EDTSpread: Miami (FL) (-6.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Miami (FL)Won (open this pick on its own page)56c$532+78.6%+$418
Oct 17, 2026, EDTSpread: Miami (FL) (-20.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Miami (FL)Lost (open this pick on its own page)50c$187-100%-$187.47
Oct 17, 2026, EDTKent State vs. South Floridaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)South FloridaWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$624+28.2%+$176
Oct 17, 2026, EDTKent State vs. South Florida: O/U 45.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$265-100%-$265
Oct 17, 2026, EDTAlabama vs. Tennesseeon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TennesseeWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$434+112.8%+$489.83
Oct 17, 2026, EDTSpread: Toledo (-6.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ToledoWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$577+78.7%+$454.38
Oct 17, 2026, EDTUNLV vs. Air Forceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Air ForceWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$512+118.3%+$604.95
Oct 17, 2026, EDTSpread: Temple (-17.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CharlotteWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$540+85.2%+$460
Oct 17, 2026, EDTOhio State vs. Indianaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ohio StateWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$360+66.7%+$240
Oct 16, 2026, EDTSpread: Appalachian State (-5.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Coastal CarolinaWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$365+53.8%+$196.37
Oct 16, 2026, EDTSpread: Memphis (-13.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TulaneWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$168+78.6%+$132
Oct 16, 2026, EDTMemphis vs. Tulaneon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TulaneWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$660+51.5%+$340
Oct 15, 2026, EDTSpread: Texas State (-14.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Colorado StateLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$204-100%-$204
Oct 15, 2026, EDTEast Carolina vs. UAB: O/U 53.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$385+81.8%+$315
Oct 15, 2026, EDTEast Carolina vs. UAB: O/U 47.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$90+122.2%+$110
Oct 13, 2026, EDTDelaware vs. Middle Tennessee: O/U 51.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$295-100%-$294.91
Nov 29, 2024, ESTStanford vs. San José Stateon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)StanfordLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$26-100%-$26
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT$1,508—too few: 4 picks2 h 25to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled+0.3597% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4+0.3664c+57.3%56
NHLlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT$12,824before 29%in play 71%, over 24 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min after the start2 h 30to the end, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled+0.09106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0+0.0850c+15.3%55
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 21, 2026, EDTHurricanes vs. Canuckson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CanucksLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$224-100%-$224
Oct 20, 2026, EDTBruins vs. Starson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)StarsWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$545+83.5%+$454.99
Oct 20, 2026, EDTAvalanche vs. Devils: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$151+104.1%+$156.69
Oct 19, 2026, EDTAvalanche vs. Flyerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FlyersWon (open this pick on its own page)32c$320+212.5%+$680
Oct 18, 2026, EDTBlue Jackets vs. Wildon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WildWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$462+58.7%+$271.32
Oct 18, 2026, EDTOilers vs. Utahon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UtahLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$589-100%-$588.74
Oct 18, 2026, EDTPenguins vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$770-100%-$769.56
Oct 18, 2026, EDTBruins vs. Kingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KingsLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$570-100%-$570
Oct 17, 2026, EDTDevils vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$369+75.8%+$279.55
Oct 16, 2026, EDTPenguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$371-100%-$371
Oct 16, 2026, EDTRangers vs. Devils: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$530-100%-$530
Oct 16, 2026, EDTFlames vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$493-100%-$492.73
Oct 15, 2026, EDTIslanders vs. Senators: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$601+62.8%+$377.27
Oct 15, 2026, EDTSabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$220+81.8%+$180
Oct 14, 2026, EDTStars vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$493+75.4%+$371.97
Oct 14, 2026, EDTStars vs. Avalancheon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)StarsWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$184+117.4%+$216
Oct 14, 2026, EDTOilers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$1,045+86.7%+$905.64
Oct 14, 2026, EDTBruins vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$293-100%-$292.89
Oct 13, 2026, EDTAvalanche vs. Stars: O/U 5.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$480+104.1%+$500
Oct 13, 2026, EDTKraken vs. Flyerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KrakenWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$588+104.1%+$612
Oct 13, 2026, EDTSabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$498-100%-$497.52
Oct 13, 2026, EDTDevils vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$825-100%-$825
Oct 12, 2026, EDTGolden Knights vs. Wild: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$1,453+89.6%+$1,301.16
Oct 12, 2026, EDTSenators vs. Devils: O/U 5.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$753+111.4%+$838.64
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT$2,705—too few: 8 picks5 h 20to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.12101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0+0.1250c+31.7%53
Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT$1,400—too few: 6 picks4 h 29to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.11100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7+0.1156c+21.2%52
WNBAlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$193—too few: 1 pick1 h 40to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.55101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5+0.5446c+117.4%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDTAtlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyrieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Golden State ValkyriesWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$193+117.4%+$226.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$290—too few: 1 pick1 h 27resells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.50100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5+0.5050c+100%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 18, 2026, EDTWill FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$290+100%+$290.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT$224—too few: 1 pick6 h 56to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.44100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4+0.4456c+78.6%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 16, 2026, EDTValorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LOUDWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$224+78.6%+$176
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT$6,810before 45%in play 55%, over 11 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 21 min after the start1 h 48to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.04102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5+0.0459c+6.8%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 20, 2026, EDTWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$372+61.3%+$228
Oct 20, 2026, EDTWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$590+69.5%+$410
Oct 20, 2026, EDTFenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$692+44.5%+$308
Oct 14, 2026, EDTManchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$823-100%-$822.78
Oct 14, 2026, EDTManchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$640+56.3%+$360
Oct 14, 2026, EDTWill Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$348+72.4%+$252
Oct 14, 2026, EDTSpread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LASK LinzLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$580-100%-$580
Oct 14, 2026, EDTLASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)69c$1,008-100%-$1,007.54
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWill Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$292+78.3%+$228.79
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$936+92.3%+$863.8
Oct 13, 2026, EDTRacing Club de Lens vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$530-100%-$530
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT$4,127—too few: 7 picks2 h 17to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled+0.0583% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 83% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4+0.0651c-5.3%51
Us Politicslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT$25—no start of play3 h 20to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L0.0-0.011c-100%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 16, 2026, EDTKatie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$25-100%-$24.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$865—too few: 2 picks2 h 00to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L-0.2-0.1161c-19.9%49
MLBlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT$5,474—too few: 9 picks2 h 02to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled+0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3-0.0359c-3.8%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$540+85.2%+$460
Oct 18, 2026, EDTTampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$352+53.8%+$189.53
Oct 17, 2026, EDTTampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$280-100%-$279.99
Oct 15, 2026, EDTMilwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Los Angeles DodgersLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$779-100%-$779.16
Oct 15, 2026, EDTTampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$1,304+66.7%+$869.43
Oct 14, 2026, EDTMilwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$268-100%-$268
Oct 12, 2026, EDTCleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rayson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Cleveland GuardiansWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$280+108.3%+$303.82
Oct 12, 2026, EDTLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Milwaukee BrewersWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$1,022+51.5%+$526.29
Oct 12, 2026, EDTLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$649-100%-$649
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mlslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$1,333—too few: 2 picks51 minresells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L-0.3-0.1464c-13.8%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 18, 2026, EDTWill CF Montréal win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$496+72.4%+$359.35
Oct 17, 2026, EDTAtlanta United FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$837-100%-$836.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$1,069—too few: 4 picks1 h 29to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)450%2 W · 2 L-0.3-0.0858c-19.4%49
NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT$10,860before 39%in play 61%, over 23 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 after the start2 h 28to the end, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled-0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 19 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6-0.0351c-5.9%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCommanders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$810+85.2%+$690
Oct 19, 2026, EDTSpread: 49ers (-8.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CommandersWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$560+78.6%+$440
Oct 19, 2026, EDTSpread: Packers (-10.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PackersLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$343-100%-$342.91
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCowboys vs. Packers: O/U 53.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$1,102-100%-$1,101.5
Oct 18, 2026, EDTSpread: Bills (-3.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RaidersWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$580+63.9%+$370.68
Oct 18, 2026, EDTSpread: Bills (-4.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RaidersWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$416+75.4%+$313.85
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCardinals vs. Ramson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RamsLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$968-100%-$968.08
Oct 18, 2026, EDTSteelers vs. Buccaneerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BuccaneersLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$270-100%-$270
Oct 18, 2026, EDTSpread: Panthers (-3.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)EaglesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$280-100%-$279.99
Oct 18, 2026, EDTTitans vs. Colts: O/U 44.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$344-100%-$343.76
Oct 18, 2026, EDTBears vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$825-100%-$825
Oct 18, 2026, EDTRavens vs. Brownson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BrownsWon (open this pick on its own page)34c$238+194.1%+$462
Oct 18, 2026, EDTTexans vs. Jaguarson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TexansWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$413+69.5%+$287
Oct 18, 2026, EDTSpread: Jaguars (-2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)JaguarsLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$255-100%-$255
Oct 15, 2026, EDTSeahawks vs. Broncoson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SeahawksLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$275-100%-$274.99
Oct 15, 2026, EDTSpread: Broncos (-7.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SeahawksWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$317+100.9%+$319.25
Oct 15, 2026, EDTSeahawks vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$429+75.7%+$324.55
Oct 13, 2026, EDTBills vs. Ramson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BillsWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$442+75.4%+$333.79
Oct 12, 2026, EDTBills vs. Rams: O/U 60.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$534-100%-$533.95
Oct 12, 2026, EDTBills vs. Rams: O/U 54.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$749-100%-$749.22
Dec 1, 2024, ESTBuccaneers vs. Pantherson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BuccaneersWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$64+150%+$96.7
Dec 1, 2024, ESTCardinals vs. Vikingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CardinalsLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$137-100%-$136.9
Dec 1, 2024, ESTChargers vs. Falconson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ChargersWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$510+96.1%+$489.99
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$999—too few: 3 picks2 h 50to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4-0.1548c-25.9%48
CS2last settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT$3,195before 23%in play 77%, over 13 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 min after the start1 h 24to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled-0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0-0.0846c-21%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Alliance vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TheMongolzWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$305+63.9%+$195
Oct 18, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIALost (open this pick on its own page)58c$406-100%-$406
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIALost (open this pick on its own page)11c$55-100%-$55
Oct 16, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LegacyLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$510-100%-$510
Oct 16, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LegacyWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$234+117.6%+$275.6
Oct 16, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BetBoom TeamWon (open this pick on its own page)34c$170+194.1%+$329.99
Oct 16, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AstralisLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$327-100%-$327.17
Oct 15, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group Don Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MIBRWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$101+66.1%+$66.83
Oct 15, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PARIVISIONLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$159-100%-$159
Oct 15, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BetBoom TeamWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$216+85.2%+$184
Oct 13, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: ex-Keyd Stars vs Galorys - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ex-Keyd StarsLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$177-100%-$176.75
Oct 13, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LiquidLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$406-100%-$405.73
Nov 26, 2025, ESTCounter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LegacyLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$129-100%-$129.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFClast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$364—too few: 1 pick51 minto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.77no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.8-0.7777c-100%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Chelsea Chandler vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Melissa CrodenLost (open this pick on its own page)77c$364-100%-$364.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT$11,020before 44%in play 56%, over 27 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start3 h 07to the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled-0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 23 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.2-0.0856c-17.6%45
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 21, 2026, EDTThunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$257-100%-$256.99
Oct 21, 2026, EDTThunder vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$67-100%-$67.29
Oct 21, 2026, EDTThunder vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$907+89.1%+$808.68
Oct 20, 2026, EDT76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$260+92.3%+$240
Oct 20, 2026, EDT76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$305-100%-$305.14
Oct 20, 2026, EDT76ers vs. Knickson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KnicksLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$620-100%-$620
Oct 17, 2026, EDTNuggets vs. Lakerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LakersLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$720-100%-$720
Oct 16, 2026, EDTBucks vs. Pacerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PacersLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$208-100%-$207.99
Oct 16, 2026, EDTCeltics vs. 76erson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76ersLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$566-100%-$566.28
Oct 16, 2026, EDTHeat vs. Magicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MagicWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$296+122.2%+$361.34
Oct 15, 2026, EDTNuggets vs. Clipperson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NuggetsLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$780-100%-$779.8
Oct 14, 2026, EDTSpread: Pelicans (-2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PelicansWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$87+58.9%+$51.15
Oct 14, 2026, EDTPelicans vs. Maverickson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PelicansWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$620+61.3%+$380
Oct 14, 2026, EDTPistons vs. Timberwolveson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TimberwolvesLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$570-100%-$570.09
Oct 14, 2026, EDTNets vs. Heaton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HeatWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$386+44.9%+$173.29
Oct 14, 2026, EDTHornets vs. Celticson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CelticsWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$426+28.2%+$120.12
Oct 13, 2026, EDTCavaliers vs. Magicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CavaliersLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$370-100%-$370
Nov 7, 2025, ESTCavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 239.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$280-100%-$280
Dec 4, 2024, ESTRockets vs. Kingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RocketsLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$270-100%-$269.99
Dec 3, 2024, EST76ers vs. Hornetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76ersWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$444+53.8%+$239.07
Dec 3, 2024, ESTLakers vs. Timberwolveson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LakersLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$137-100%-$136.54
Dec 2, 2024, ESTPelicans vs. Hawkson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PelicansLost (open this pick on its own page)21c$105-100%-$105
Dec 2, 2024, ESTHeat vs. Celticson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CelticsWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$35+31.6%+$11
Dec 2, 2024, ESTMavericks vs. Trail Blazerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MavericksWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$757+44.9%+$340.12
Dec 2, 2024, ESTLakers vs. Jazzon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LakersWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$710+40.8%+$290
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT$2,138—too few: 8 picks1 h 53to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4-0.1855c-36.8%45
La Ligalast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$2,572—too few: 5 picks1 h 22to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.40no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)520%1 W · 4 L-1.9-0.3858c-72.2%43
Lollast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$1,154—too few: 4 picks1 h 28to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.46no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)40%0 W · 4 L-1.9-0.4747c-100%43
What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.