TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc28…8b35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Golf, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.84
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.89
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.14
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$107.94
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.66
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.13
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.42
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-78.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.47
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.75
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Tricked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.78
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.64
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid+58.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$79.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.