TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf795…d567

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Vit Koprivabacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+174.4%+$19.83
Piracicaba: Hernan Casanova vs Eduardo Ribeirobacked Hernan Casanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$12.9
Piracicaba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Alex Hernandezbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$20.03
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Paul Jubbbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Bad Homburg Open: Venus Williams vs Irina-Camelia Begubacked Venus Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.65
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$13.1
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jay Clarke vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Jay Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paulbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+153%+$50.46
Bad Homburg Open: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Emma Navarrobacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+147.2%+$42.84
Figueira Da Foz: Jeline Vandromme vs Ayla Aksubacked Jeline Vandromme · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Nottingham Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Emma Navarrobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.68
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+158.2%+$31.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+119%+$24.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+232.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+232.3%+$127.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick35cpaid+189.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$26.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.