Fifa International · resolved market
Sweden to score first vs. Tunisia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ae3d58afcb3eeb5c4511396312910d95f4d36d3b00bafe921e2c26071990f67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 1c | 5,198$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 60c | 2,676$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.01 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 18c | 1,617$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.06 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 41c | 999.94$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.97 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 41c | 957.51$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.58 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 1c | 808.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 39c | 756.24$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.45 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 40c | 749.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 59c | 697.01$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.77 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 664.21$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.49 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 508.84$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.4 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 63c | 426.48$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Yes | 60c | 395.24$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 40c | 365.21$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.09 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 63c | 335.8$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 319.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Yes | 59c | 300.19$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 184 | 36.4%67 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 58c | 259.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f0…e830backed Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 63c | 237.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 20c | 180.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 41c | 170.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…dffabacked Yes | 59c | 170.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 40c | 160.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd660…dd8bbacked Yes | 59c | 156.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc23f…6c8abacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e95…61d6backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…3807backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Yes | 59c | 84.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…3c18backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 220 | 58.2%128 W · 92 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 42c | 53.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 59c | 52.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…5314backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked No | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 35c | 44.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…37d5backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…2e6bbacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…3678backed Yes | 61c | 41.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…96ffbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…7e2cbacked Yes | 59c | 33.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…d978backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…92b1backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…b81dbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Yes | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3374…0f58backed Yes | 60c | 26.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a13…3f00backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…ab0abacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…4647backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…1c81backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6850…9eebbacked Yes | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…0e06backed Yes | 59c | 17.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sweden to score first vs. Tunisia?this page
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Neither team to score first?No won
- Tunisia to score first vs. Sweden?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.