TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Harry Wendelkenof Harry Wendelken, Adam Walton
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,750
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,750 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeaf3…e802backed Adam Walton26c9,000$2,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.8447728.1%134 W · 343 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Harry Wendelken66c8,095$5,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,753.748,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Harry Wendelken72c7,224$5,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.184,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Harry Wendelken75c6,754$5,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.5511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Adam Walton22c4,110$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.9510642.5%45 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Adam Walton27c3,748$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7842131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Harry Wendelken75c3,354$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.5524961.4%153 W · 96 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Harry Wendelken41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.023375.8%25 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Harry Wendelken45c2,084$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.6342332.4%137 W · 286 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Adam Walton61c1,502$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.66,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Adam Walton27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40554138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a4e…1ba4backed Adam Walton76c1,307$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Adam Walton8c1,294$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10571725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Harry Wendelken60c1,207$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.445,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b87…8a0dbacked Harry Wendelken33c1,135$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.453333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e1e3backed Harry Wendelken49c1,122$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.2627446.7%128 W · 146 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Harry Wendelken39c775.51$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.921,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Adam Walton26c750$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19519626%51 W · 145 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Adam Walton59c719.91$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.753,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Adam Walton43c719.09$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.518,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4bc…b19dbacked Adam Walton29c676.92$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.138543.5%37 W · 48 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Adam Walton18c624.13$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.343354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Adam Walton45c557.37$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030749.8%153 W · 154 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Harry Wendelken40c556.1$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.126134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Adam Walton63c555.55$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Adam Walton15c542.01$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6824856.9%141 W · 107 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Adam Walton62c535.19$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.8287251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Adam Walton46c518.05$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6834748.1%167 W · 180 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Harry Wendelken43c498.63$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.414,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbb…75a1backed Adam Walton23c492.07$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1311338.9%44 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Harry Wendelken72c455.66$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8511963.9%76 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Harry Wendelken37c406.56$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2562,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84bc…4aadbacked Adam Walton57c315.79$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18024245%109 W · 133 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Adam Walton63c312.5$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.911,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Adam Walton68c294.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Harry Wendelken38c288.89$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1185250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f2…042ebacked Adam Walton73c274.62$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.127364.4%47 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Adam Walton36c261.9$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.136,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Harry Wendelken40c252.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9758045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Adam Walton35c228.28$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.523,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Harry Wendelken54c217.83$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.771,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Harry Wendelken51c200.96$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.613,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Harry Wendelken42c194$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.122,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Adam Walton15c183.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8647857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Adam Walton62c179.43$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6943552.9%230 W · 205 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Harry Wendelken63c164$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6844758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Harry Wendelken48c160.42$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.421,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4bd…0ce0backed Adam Walton61c159.95$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.578154.3%44 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Harry Wendelken36c159.5$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.087,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x042f…1645backed Adam Walton12c156.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Harry Wendelken38c154.13$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.561,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked Adam Walton62c151$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.971540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Adam Walton21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Adam Walton46c140$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.911745.3%53 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Harry Wendelken79c136.49$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.522,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Harry Wendelken36c135.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.83,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Harry Wendelken74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1433551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Harry Wendelken20c131.22$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.984757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Adam Walton35c130.23$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.131,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Adam Walton31c125.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.841,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Adam Walton78c122.6$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6347274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Harry Wendelken56c122.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8926345.6%120 W · 143 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Harry Wendelken64c117.09$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.591,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Harry Wendelken63c115.94$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.456,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Harry Wendelken67c115.66$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7195050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Harry Wendelken48c111.53$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4796945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Adam Walton73c109.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8028147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Adam Walton36c103.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Adam Walton17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1722359.6%133 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2821…9534backed Adam Walton25c99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752441.7%10 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Adam Walton41c97.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4090854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Harry Wendelken38c96.13$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.646851.5%241 W · 227 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Adam Walton68c95.59$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6540554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Adam Walton43c94.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8292145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Harry Wendelken47c89.38$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Adam Walton61c89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2937047%174 W · 196 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e62…fd00backed Adam Walton35c85.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020347.3%96 W · 107 L-14.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Adam Walton61c82.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0843952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Harry Wendelken44c81.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.822,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9965…c783backed Adam Walton76c80$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.82673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Harry Wendelken35c80$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.41,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2554…bb52backed Adam Walton36c76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.369754.6%53 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Harry Wendelken37c72.59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7339149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Harry Wendelken44c70.66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.573,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Adam Walton65c69.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0111133.3%37 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed Adam Walton62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.854161%25 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Harry Wendelken44c63.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.642,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Harry Wendelken38c62.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0135248.6%171 W · 181 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Harry Wendelken70c61.43$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.431,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Adam Walton23c60.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Adam Walton29c59.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.061,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Adam Walton68c57.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9350958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Harry Wendelken71c56.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.471,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Adam Walton56c52.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7357447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dee…5d00backed Adam Walton74c52.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3916154.7%88 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Harry Wendelken73c51.76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0285742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Harry Wendelken59c51.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.491051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Adam Walton64c51.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7533152.6%174 W · 157 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3401…fa51backed Harry Wendelken39c50.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.911546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79e9…80b1backed Adam Walton42c50.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3733228.3%94 W · 238 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.