Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: KW vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e088fa7b9b8408a5b99d7fbe45dbcdbd60b79fc9e0f1826d1fe50e2d5e38bb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PuckChampof KW, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cec…91cdbacked KW | 55c | 5,709$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.53 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf646…923bbacked KW | 42c | 4,400$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed KW | 11c | 3,285$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.39 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…6c9dbacked PuckChamp | 57c | 3,257$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.01 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed KW | 26c | 1,699$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.78 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed PuckChamp | 69c | 1,308$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.25 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…de73backed KW | 39c | 803.79$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.07 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed KW | 37c | 705$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed KW | 16c | 688.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed KW | 3c | 678.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked KW | 32c | 637.81$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.72 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked PuckChamp | 43c | 630$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.7 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed PuckChamp | 64c | 523$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.78 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked KW | 26c | 519.85$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.07 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…02fdbacked KW | 37c | 499.24$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked PuckChamp | 78c | 435.76$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked PuckChamp | 68c | 407$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed PuckChamp | 60c | 405$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed PuckChamp | 48c | 392$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.98 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PuckChamp | 61c | 366.04$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked KW | 11c | 349.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked PuckChamp | 38c | 328.49$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.24 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KW | 14c | 326.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f73…5b47backed KW | 32c | 312.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked PuckChamp | 53c | 311$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.77 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked PuckChamp | 41c | 304.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KW | 33c | 295.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed KW | 33c | 283.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed KW | 36c | 273$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KW | 23c | 256.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed PuckChamp | 66c | 250.81$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed KW | 49c | 248.77$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…1a8cbacked KW | 40c | 243.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PuckChamp | 64c | 235.8$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed PuckChamp | 76c | 223.72$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PuckChamp | 65c | 213.51$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked PuckChamp | 41c | 208$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked PuckChamp | 41c | 208$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed PuckChamp | 72c | 204.19$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed PuckChamp | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed PuckChamp | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…ad6ebacked PuckChamp | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed PuckChamp | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed PuckChamp | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…bf8ebacked PuckChamp | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…0ac2backed PuckChamp | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…d485backed PuckChamp | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KW | 10c | 197$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked PuckChamp | 69c | 193.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 436 | 49.1%214 W · 222 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed PuckChamp | 41c | 180$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…3a70backed PuckChamp | 64c | 160.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed PuckChamp | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PuckChamp | 59c | 149.77$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked PuckChamp | 60c | 138.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed KW | 15c | 137.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed PuckChamp | 59c | 120.19$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…d318backed KW | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked PuckChamp | 71c | 118$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PuckChamp | 80c | 108.56$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed PuckChamp | 62c | 108.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed KW | 33c | 106.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked PuckChamp | 63c | 105.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…6984backed KW | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed PuckChamp | 59c | 95.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 409 | 33%135 W · 274 L | -36.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed KW | 27c | 92.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PuckChamp | 65c | 90.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed PuckChamp | 61c | 86.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 524 | 50.8%266 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked PuckChamp | 65c | 81.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed KW | 42c | 73.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed PuckChamp | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked PuckChamp | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…60f0backed PuckChamp | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…90b2backed PuckChamp | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked PuckChamp | 55c | 71.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed KW | 24c | 71.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed KW | 32c | 69.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PuckChamp | 60c | 67.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 376 | 32.2%121 W · 255 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed PuckChamp | 62c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed PuckChamp | 63c | 62.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…21e3backed PuckChamp | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…9062backed PuckChamp | 61c | 54.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed PuckChamp | 59c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed KW | 37c | 52.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked PuckChamp | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked PuckChamp | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked KW | 40c | 49.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed KW | 31c | 48.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d9…fa69backed PuckChamp | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…eb52backed KW | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked PuckChamp | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed PuckChamp | 73c | 38.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KW | 31c | 38.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed KW | 40c | 37.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed KW | 36c | 36.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed PuckChamp | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed PuckChamp | 62c | 34.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed PuckChamp | 65c | 30.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked PuckChamp | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed KW | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked PuckChamp | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 303 | 51.2%155 W · 148 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: KW vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: KW vs PuckChamp - Game 1 WinnerPuckChamp won
- Dota 2: KW vs PuckChamp - Game 2 WinnerPuckChamp won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs KW (+1.5)PuckChamp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.