CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Black Phoenix - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e60c72c02740440213cf276821e1f19a484c1febecbb91a110281803a4bc02f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, Black Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Black Phoenix | 12c | 2,441$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.32 | 313 | 26.2%82 W · 231 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 2,228$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…f2d0backed Nemiga | 55c | 2,187$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Black Phoenix | 25c | 1,715$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.82 | 584 | 35.8%209 W · 375 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…add8backed Nemiga | 71c | 1,700$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.01 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Nemiga | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 405 | 57.3%232 W · 173 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nemiga | 74c | 1,440$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.95 | 534 | 49.6%265 W · 269 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Black Phoenix | 16c | 1,400$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.47 | 585 | 22.4%131 W · 454 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Black Phoenix | 24c | 782.82$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 367 | 44.4%163 W · 204 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…e8b7backed Black Phoenix | 25c | 772$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…0fddbacked Black Phoenix | 17c | 757.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Black Phoenix | 32c | 750$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Black Phoenix | 25c | 576.39$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Nemiga | 71c | 523.97$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.17 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…49b2backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 499.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nemiga | 72c | 499.63$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 2,500 | 44.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L | -67.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Black Phoenix | 26c | 428.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 693 | 48.2%334 W · 359 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…7699backed Nemiga | 77c | 388.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…2aeebacked Black Phoenix | 33c | 375$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.17 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…fefbbacked Black Phoenix | 29c | 357.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Black Phoenix | 25c | 345.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…4d83backed Nemiga | 67c | 307.14$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Nemiga | 70c | 284.28$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 138 | 69.6%96 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Nemiga | 75c | 252.41$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Black Phoenix | 27c | 212.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 810 | 45.9%372 W · 438 L | -24.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Black Phoenix | 18c | 212.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Nemiga | 76c | 201.32$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Nemiga | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 763 | 50.6%386 W · 377 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Black Phoenix | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…7a52backed Nemiga | 65c | 199.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Black Phoenix | 30c | 197.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 356 | 44.4%158 W · 198 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nemiga | 75c | 177.44$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nemiga | 73c | 168$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 1,143 | 54.9%628 W · 515 L | +42.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Black Phoenix | 30c | 158.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 144.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Black Phoenix | 33c | 121$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…9d52backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…3ac9backed Black Phoenix | 20c | 92.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nemiga | 78c | 85.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked Nemiga | 74c | 84.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054e…51bdbacked Black Phoenix | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga | 65c | 75.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…10d7backed Black Phoenix | 27c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f35…d812backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 70.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Nemiga | 67c | 68.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 645 | 48.4%312 W · 333 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Nemiga | 74c | 67.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…45ecbacked Nemiga | 68c | 64.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nemiga | 78c | 61.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Black Phoenix | 33c | 60.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Black Phoenix | 29c | 55.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Nemiga | 64c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 517 | 56.3%291 W · 226 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Black Phoenix | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…cd4fbacked Nemiga | 69c | 43.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Black Phoenix | 24c | 41.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Black Phoenix | 26c | 39.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 287 | 49.1%141 W · 146 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga | 77c | 36.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga | 74c | 35.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Black Phoenix | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd314…9fd3backed Black Phoenix | 34c | 30.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Nemiga | 69c | 29.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Nemiga | 74c | 29.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…f0a3backed Nemiga | 75c | 29.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Nemiga | 58c | 26.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 431 | 55.5%239 W · 192 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Nemiga | 77c | 25.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga | 72c | 24.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Nemiga | 75c | 24.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 274 | 42.7%117 W · 157 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Nemiga | 71c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 372 | 47.3%176 W · 196 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Nemiga | 74c | 19.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Black Phoenix - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)Nemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.