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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nemigaof Nemiga, Black Phoenix
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,316
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,316 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc805…2cfcbacked Nemiga73c14,394$10,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,930.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a95…2682backed Nemiga78c7,185$5,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Black Phoenix28c2,249$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.678,13350.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L+169.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…7699backed Nemiga74c2,158$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.763100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked Black Phoenix27c2,092$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.0216146.6%75 W · 86 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Black Phoenix21c2,030$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.3158522.4%131 W · 454 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Black Phoenix31c1,935$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Nemiga72c1,854$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.1853449.6%265 W · 269 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf03c…add8backed Nemiga70c1,663$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.622171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Black Phoenix20c1,302$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.9231326.2%82 W · 231 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed Black Phoenix24c1,197$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.68634.9%30 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Black Phoenix22c1,129$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.483,70629.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L-297.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Black Phoenix26c1,085$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.3648746.6%227 W · 260 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x333d…e8b7backed Black Phoenix26c1,065$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.72714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-78.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0975…0899backed Nemiga73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2704052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Black Phoenix27c836.11$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.311,20642%506 W · 700 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Black Phoenix33c828.32$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.293,37545.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L-84.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Black Phoenix21c716.98$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5745943.6%200 W · 259 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Black Phoenix28c709$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5336744.4%163 W · 204 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Black Phoenix29c638.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.212,74947.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L-37.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Black Phoenix27c547.15$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0469348.2%334 W · 359 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Black Phoenix31c500$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.538841.8%162 W · 226 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c81…5518backed Black Phoenix27c499.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3613647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Black Phoenix29c495$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1236942.8%158 W · 211 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Black Phoenix26c491.63$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.62,50044.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L-67.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Black Phoenix16c481.63$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.631,50239.1%587 W · 915 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb0…6197backed Black Phoenix22c451.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.449757.7%56 W · 41 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2363…ed78backed Black Phoenix25c445.56$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127437.8%28 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Black Phoenix19c431.41$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.624,02236.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L-208.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95f5…ecf5backed Black Phoenix26c424.33$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.982240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe846…4d83backed Nemiga71c420.45$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.424100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Black Phoenix28c379.67$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3181045.9%372 W · 438 L-24.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b49…d827backed Black Phoenix26c375$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.52832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Black Phoenix21c359.87$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.862,63434.6%912 W · 1,722 L-204.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Black Phoenix28c350$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9821647.2%102 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed Black Phoenix32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Black Phoenix34c290$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.659134.7%205 W · 386 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Nemiga71c288.38$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6313869.6%96 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x924d…6cb9backed Black Phoenix24c266.92$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.196442.2%27 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Black Phoenix24c266.13$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.872,69752.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L+30.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedd0…b03abacked Black Phoenix28c264.61$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.091225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed Black Phoenix21c254.01$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7217542.9%75 W · 100 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed Black Phoenix27c250.23$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5632840.9%134 W · 194 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda29…f4b8backed Black Phoenix26c242.66$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.983941%16 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Black Phoenix26c239$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5251042.7%218 W · 292 L-17.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Black Phoenix27c238.51$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4450564.8%327 W · 178 L+59.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Black Phoenix30c230.51$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.155,70747.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L+45.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked Black Phoenix22c205.59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4519346.6%90 W · 103 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Nemiga72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5676350.6%386 W · 377 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6f…3be7backed Black Phoenix28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610333%34 W · 69 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac6…db45backed Black Phoenix28c181.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf6…52bfbacked Black Phoenix29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf1…3018backed Black Phoenix28c166.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.66137.7%23 W · 38 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Black Phoenix32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5074251.1%379 W · 363 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Black Phoenix32c151.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3512257.4%70 W · 52 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Black Phoenix30c145$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0330551.5%157 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Black Phoenix27c141.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.556948.9%278 W · 291 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Black Phoenix31c138.49$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.071,99547.5%948 W · 1,047 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Black Phoenix22c127.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6693645.3%424 W · 512 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Black Phoenix36c121$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.041,98442.2%838 W · 1,146 L-74.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6b8…9223backed Black Phoenix12c116.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.431435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Black Phoenix28c107.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2241339%161 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x297a…198bbacked Black Phoenix28c93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.047233.3%24 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Black Phoenix22c92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3431247.8%149 W · 163 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed Black Phoenix29c81.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.459050%45 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb434…10d7backed Black Phoenix34c79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.865455.6%30 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc269…7841backed Black Phoenix28c78.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227936.7%29 W · 50 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc222…f6ccbacked Black Phoenix27c78.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.74738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7585…dcb3backed Black Phoenix25c77.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.292944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Black Phoenix22c74.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.685,46631.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L-400.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Black Phoenix31c74.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2329347.8%140 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6457…ed50backed Black Phoenix31c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f35…d812backed Black Phoenix22c69.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Black Phoenix28c61.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.915,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked Black Phoenix27c60.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9726534%90 W · 175 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f38…13c8backed Black Phoenix29c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.414849.3%73 W · 75 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3f5…33d0backed Black Phoenix31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Black Phoenix30c54.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1351756.3%291 W · 226 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Black Phoenix27c53.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.127236.1%26 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x061b…d77fbacked Black Phoenix28c51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Black Phoenix30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Black Phoenix30c49.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.834,87943.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L-93.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Nemiga74c48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.321,27954.3%694 W · 585 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Black Phoenix26c43.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.297642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Black Phoenix32c41.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2514651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62c1…50d8backed Black Phoenix27c40.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Black Phoenix35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.172,50243%1,077 W · 1,425 L-73.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Black Phoenix27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.858248.6%283 W · 299 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Black Phoenix29c39.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.497940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Black Phoenix32c32.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3135644.4%158 W · 198 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Black Phoenix31c31.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021,14354.9%628 W · 515 L+42.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa844…7d5fbacked Black Phoenix34c29.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2889…60f6backed Nemiga75c25.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.491553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Nemiga72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8337247.3%176 W · 196 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa50a…4e2ebacked Nemiga80c16.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb47…4737backed Nemiga74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8516078.8%126 W · 34 L+18.6wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+16.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x395a…eb72backed Nemiga73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0512375.6%93 W · 30 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+10.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6428…c83abacked Nemiga74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.854488.6%39 W · 5 L+8.3wins+0.19per pick70cpaid+27.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.