CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39ddb87238f1470305c65d84ee4f4c92d62751da9a011be224d2ac9faa29f96c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, Black Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc805…2cfcbacked Nemiga | 73c | 14,394$10,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…2682backed Nemiga | 78c | 7,185$5,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Black Phoenix | 28c | 2,249$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.67 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…7699backed Nemiga | 74c | 2,158$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Black Phoenix | 27c | 2,092$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.02 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Black Phoenix | 21c | 2,030$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.31 | 585 | 22.4%131 W · 454 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Black Phoenix | 31c | 1,935$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nemiga | 72c | 1,854$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.18 | 534 | 49.6%265 W · 269 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…add8backed Nemiga | 70c | 1,663$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.62 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Black Phoenix | 20c | 1,302$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.92 | 313 | 26.2%82 W · 231 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Black Phoenix | 24c | 1,197$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.6 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Black Phoenix | 22c | 1,129$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.48 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Black Phoenix | 26c | 1,085$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.36 | 487 | 46.6%227 W · 260 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…e8b7backed Black Phoenix | 26c | 1,065$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed Nemiga | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Black Phoenix | 27c | 836.11$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.31 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Black Phoenix | 33c | 828.32$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.29 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Black Phoenix | 21c | 716.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 459 | 43.6%200 W · 259 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 709$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.53 | 367 | 44.4%163 W · 204 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Black Phoenix | 29c | 638.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.21 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Black Phoenix | 27c | 547.15$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 693 | 48.2%334 W · 359 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Black Phoenix | 31c | 500$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Black Phoenix | 27c | 499.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.36 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Black Phoenix | 29c | 495$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 369 | 42.8%158 W · 211 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Black Phoenix | 26c | 491.63$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 2,500 | 44.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L | -67.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Black Phoenix | 16c | 481.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…6197backed Black Phoenix | 22c | 451.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Black Phoenix | 25c | 445.56$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Black Phoenix | 19c | 431.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 4,022 | 36.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L | -208.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ecf5backed Black Phoenix | 26c | 424.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…4d83backed Nemiga | 71c | 420.45$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 379.67$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 810 | 45.9%372 W · 438 L | -24.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d827backed Black Phoenix | 26c | 375$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Black Phoenix | 21c | 359.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 216 | 47.2%102 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed Black Phoenix | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Black Phoenix | 34c | 290$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 591 | 34.7%205 W · 386 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Nemiga | 71c | 288.38$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 138 | 69.6%96 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed Black Phoenix | 24c | 266.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Black Phoenix | 24c | 266.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 2,697 | 52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L | +30.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…b03abacked Black Phoenix | 28c | 264.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Black Phoenix | 21c | 254.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 175 | 42.9%75 W · 100 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Black Phoenix | 27c | 250.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 328 | 40.9%134 W · 194 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…f4b8backed Black Phoenix | 26c | 242.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Black Phoenix | 26c | 239$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 510 | 42.7%218 W · 292 L | -17.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Black Phoenix | 27c | 238.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Black Phoenix | 30c | 230.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Black Phoenix | 22c | 205.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Nemiga | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 763 | 50.6%386 W · 377 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 181.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…52bfbacked Black Phoenix | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 166.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Black Phoenix | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 742 | 51.1%379 W · 363 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Black Phoenix | 32c | 151.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Black Phoenix | 30c | 145$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Black Phoenix | 27c | 141.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 569 | 48.9%278 W · 291 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Black Phoenix | 31c | 138.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Black Phoenix | 22c | 127.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Black Phoenix | 36c | 121$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…9223backed Black Phoenix | 12c | 116.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 107.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked Black Phoenix | 28c | 93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Black Phoenix | 22c | 92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Black Phoenix | 29c | 81.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…10d7backed Black Phoenix | 34c | 79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 78.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…f6ccbacked Black Phoenix | 27c | 78.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…dcb3backed Black Phoenix | 25c | 77.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Black Phoenix | 22c | 74.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Black Phoenix | 31c | 74.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…ed50backed Black Phoenix | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f35…d812backed Black Phoenix | 22c | 69.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Black Phoenix | 28c | 61.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Black Phoenix | 27c | 60.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Black Phoenix | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…33d0backed Black Phoenix | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Black Phoenix | 30c | 54.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 517 | 56.3%291 W · 226 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Black Phoenix | 27c | 53.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061b…d77fbacked Black Phoenix | 28c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Black Phoenix | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Black Phoenix | 30c | 49.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Nemiga | 74c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Black Phoenix | 26c | 43.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Black Phoenix | 32c | 41.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…50d8backed Black Phoenix | 27c | 40.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Black Phoenix | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Black Phoenix | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Black Phoenix | 29c | 39.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Black Phoenix | 32c | 32.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 356 | 44.4%158 W · 198 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Black Phoenix | 31c | 31.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1,143 | 54.9%628 W · 515 L | +42.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…7d5fbacked Black Phoenix | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…60f6backed Nemiga | 75c | 25.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Nemiga | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 372 | 47.3%176 W · 196 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50a…4e2ebacked Nemiga | 80c | 16.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Nemiga | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 160 | 78.8%126 W · 34 L | +18.6wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Nemiga | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 123 | 75.6%93 W · 30 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…c83abacked Nemiga | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 44 | 88.6%39 W · 5 L | +8.3wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Black Phoenix - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)Nemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.