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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nemigaof Nemiga, Black Phoenix
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf03c…add8backed Nemiga76c11,137$8,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.712171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…7699backed Nemiga80c6,253$4,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2693100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Nemiga75c5,383$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.8353449.6%265 W · 269 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Nemiga75c4,299$3,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.876350.6%386 W · 377 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Black Phoenix25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,44433.4%482 W · 962 L+39.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Black Phoenix26c3,994$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.8359134.7%205 W · 386 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Black Phoenix20c2,850$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.3258435.8%209 W · 375 L+1.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Black Phoenix20c2,720$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.253,70629.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L-297.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe846…4d83backed Nemiga75c1,892$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.784100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Black Phoenix25c1,600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.838841.8%162 W · 226 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Black Phoenix26c1,563$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.1553835.9%193 W · 345 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Nemiga74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39018845.2%85 W · 103 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Black Phoenix20c1,480$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.721,62929.8%485 W · 1,144 L-90.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Black Phoenix17c1,446$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.711,50239.1%587 W · 915 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Black Phoenix24c1,431$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.821,71053.2%909 W · 801 L+65.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Black Phoenix25c1,390$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.4823740.9%97 W · 140 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed Black Phoenix26c1,380$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.7515551.6%80 W · 75 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Nemiga80c1,224$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8646965.7%308 W · 161 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Black Phoenix24c816.13$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6336744.4%163 W · 204 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Nemiga80c808.43$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9481045.9%372 W · 438 L-24.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Black Phoenix22c804.76$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17748746.6%227 W · 260 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Black Phoenix27c788.21$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.45,95437.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L+77.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189f…f4f3backed Black Phoenix24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1443354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Black Phoenix24c556.28$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0569348.2%334 W · 359 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Black Phoenix23c497.35$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.537549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x333d…e8b7backed Black Phoenix18c483$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.87714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-78.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Black Phoenix24c459$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9346344.3%205 W · 258 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Black Phoenix21c413.45$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.874,16550.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L+70.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Black Phoenix24c412.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f1…e320backed Black Phoenix33c406.86$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1335154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d39…5408backed Nemiga73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084450%22 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Black Phoenix24c393.44$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.422,69752.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L+30.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Nemiga78c380$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0251756.3%291 W · 226 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Black Phoenix27c360$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.24551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…50f0backed Black Phoenix29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Black Phoenix23c340.19$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.442,50044.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L-67.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Black Phoenix27c328.98$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.835058%29 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Black Phoenix24c324.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7835644.4%158 W · 198 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xceae…8e45backed Black Phoenix22c321.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.533633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Black Phoenix24c317.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.752,74947.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L-37.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Nemiga75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7515949.7%79 W · 80 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Black Phoenix27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8111642.2%49 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf5f…555ebacked Black Phoenix28c282$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.961154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed Black Phoenix23c266.35$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.269050%45 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Nemiga76c261.84$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8413869.6%96 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Nemiga72c259.67$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7179752.7%420 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Black Phoenix24c233$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9223944.4%106 W · 133 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadeb…5850backed Black Phoenix24c215.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.225954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Black Phoenix22c208.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Nemiga73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.483959%23 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed Black Phoenix22c205$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.138650.5%195 W · 191 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Nemiga78c202.81$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.621,70447%801 W · 903 L-29.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Nemiga77c199.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4610158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Black Phoenix23c198.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6959039.3%232 W · 358 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Black Phoenix22c190.39$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3336825.5%94 W · 274 L-18.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Nemiga75c186.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6752155.1%287 W · 234 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Black Phoenix27c185$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9517437.4%65 W · 109 L-13.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Black Phoenix27c181.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0922852.6%120 W · 108 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Black Phoenix21c173.18$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.685,70747.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L+45.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56bf…0852backed Black Phoenix23c166.04$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.193234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Black Phoenix25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012027.5%33 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Black Phoenix27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.512059.2%71 W · 49 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Nemiga75c143.35$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.031,05149%515 W · 536 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Black Phoenix26c142$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7764548.4%312 W · 333 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Black Phoenix26c140.48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.452952.7%279 W · 250 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e7…6036backed Nemiga73c135.16$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.493557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6f…3be7backed Black Phoenix23c126$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9810333%34 W · 69 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f2…bcfdbacked Black Phoenix22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Black Phoenix21c118.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0755055.1%303 W · 247 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9266…a9d3backed Nemiga77c114$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7811160.4%67 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Black Phoenix17c111.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9693645.3%424 W · 512 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Black Phoenix21c110$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.072,60841.2%1,075 W · 1,533 L-123.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b88…16e6backed Black Phoenix19c105.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9915923.3%37 W · 122 L-18.2wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Nemiga74c104.86$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8715439.6%61 W · 93 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb434…10d7backed Black Phoenix24c104$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.965455.6%30 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Black Phoenix25c103.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,10031.7%349 W · 751 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed2…9d82backed Black Phoenix15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152544%11 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Black Phoenix27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2731247.8%149 W · 163 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca8…0bfcbacked Black Phoenix20c92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+101.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Nemiga75c91$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.71,27954.3%694 W · 585 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Black Phoenix25c86.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6314545.5%66 W · 79 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9d…3373backed Black Phoenix23c81.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.725644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Nemiga73c81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.879352.7%49 W · 44 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Nemiga76c80.45$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3134657.5%199 W · 147 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Black Phoenix21c78.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.352,63434.6%912 W · 1,722 L-204.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44ff…c7a8backed Nemiga78c76.64$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Nemiga74c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2571449.3%352 W · 362 L-2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Nemiga75c72.25$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8227449.3%135 W · 139 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga76c72$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.555,46631.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L-400.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Nemiga76c70.62$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9537247.3%176 W · 196 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Nemiga75c66.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8910654.7%58 W · 48 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Black Phoenix19c65.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.521,34644.1%594 W · 752 L+45.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23df…3df7backed Black Phoenix26c62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.123441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nemiga77c58.86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331,14354.9%628 W · 515 L+42.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Black Phoenix24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123023.3%7 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Black Phoenix24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Nemiga75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3815654.5%85 W · 71 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Nemiga74c49.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8712661.1%77 W · 49 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Black Phoenix21c48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0839822.6%90 W · 308 L-43.9wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-45.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked Nemiga77c46.76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7527949.5%138 W · 141 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.