MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fe55213e149087b59af148c29c182c9eb8c5278876b263b694361af263434e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rays | 54c | 19,728$10,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,622.64 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Phillies | 59c | 7,614$4,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.85 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ba…d879backed Rays | 50c | 7,529$3,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,773.31 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 41c | 5,271$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.15 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 45c | 4,662$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.04 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rays | 43c | 3,891$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.33 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Phillies | 30c | 3,057$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.04 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Phillies | 21c | 2,986$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.76 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Phillies | 53c | 2,986$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.33 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 53c | 2,517$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.53 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb70…f9d5backed Phillies | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Phillies | 52c | 2,486$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.45 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 52c | 2,454$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.97 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Phillies | 32c | 2,188$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.5 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Phillies | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Phillies | 58c | 1,938$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.79 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Phillies | 60c | 1,857$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.19 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Phillies | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Rays | 44c | 1,700$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.99 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rays | 40c | 1,383$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.34 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ae…a897backed Rays | 44c | 1,261$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…3279backed Rays | 44c | 1,239$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 42c | 1,004$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.74 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Phillies | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Phillies | 44c | 780$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 57c | 764.06$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.17 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 56c | 759.18$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.67 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Phillies | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Rays | 41c | 694.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.94 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rays | 21c | 614.29$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rays | 39c | 512.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Phillies | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Phillies | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Rays | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Phillies | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rays | 41c | 494$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.54 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…74e9backed Rays | 42c | 467.39$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays | 42c | 455$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 55c | 446.63$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.62 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Phillies | 58c | 439.22$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.47 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6577…2660backed Phillies | 48c | 353.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Phillies | 68c | 350.53$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.26 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ba…0627backed Phillies | 57c | 309.7$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 19c | 285.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.16 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Phillies | 72c | 271.42$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Phillies | 60c | 270.51$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.66 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Rays | 42c | 249$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 56c | 225$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Rays | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Phillies | 59c | 174.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rays | 44c | 149.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Rays | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…d5d7backed Phillies | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Phillies | 58c | 104$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Phillies | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Rays | 41c | 95.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Phillies | 59c | 84.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Phillies | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8467…d8aebacked Phillies | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Phillies | 58c | 80.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rays | 46c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…a5fbbacked Phillies | 56c | 73.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Rays | 41c | 52.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Phillies | 59c | 50.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Rays | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Phillies | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Rays | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…81f0backed Phillies | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Phillies | 41c | 38.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Phillies | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Phillies | 58c | 36.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Rays | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rays | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Rays | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Phillies | 57c | 30.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Phillies | 62c | 28.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rays | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Phillies | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Phillies | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Phillies | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Phillies | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.