CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14b816de428512fc126f60e90b756596bfa2acdfde2107da1a67080073174406
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butterflyof Butterfly, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3783…0038backed Just Players | 41c | 969.59$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Butterfly | 58c | 932.42$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.19 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Just Players | 42c | 780.73$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.84 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Just Players | 15c | 453.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Just Players | 45c | 444.58$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.65 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Just Players | 4c | 403.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 769 | 33.8%260 W · 509 L | -48.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Butterfly | 59c | 341.4$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Butterfly | 79c | 334.09$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Just Players | 40c | 254.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Butterfly | 56c | 254.4$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…7668backed Butterfly | 59c | 223.17$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Just Players | 9c | 197$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Butterfly | 54c | 177.4$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…ade7backed Butterfly | 56c | 172.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Butterfly | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Butterfly | 65c | 145$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Butterfly | 78c | 134.87$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Just Players | 40c | 120.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Just Players | 19c | 117.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Just Players | 43c | 116.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Butterfly | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Just Players | 14c | 102.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 395 | 40.3%159 W · 236 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Butterfly | 62c | 96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Butterfly | 57c | 94.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Butterfly | 54c | 92.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 560 | 49.8%279 W · 281 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Just Players | 19c | 89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Just Players | 19c | 88.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Butterfly | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Butterfly | 73c | 76.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Just Players | 30c | 68.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 211 | 56.9%120 W · 91 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Just Players | 44c | 65.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Just Players | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Butterfly | 54c | 64.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked Just Players | 46c | 52.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Just Players | 44c | 52.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked Just Players | 43c | 52.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Just Players | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Butterfly | 59c | 44.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 618 | 55%340 W · 278 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Just Players | 23c | 44.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Just Players | 38c | 42.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Butterfly | 62c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed Just Players | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Butterfly | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Butterfly | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 298 | 54.7%163 W · 135 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5486…915abacked Butterfly | 54c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 58cpaid | +60%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Butterfly | 53c | 32.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Just Players | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked Butterfly | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Butterfly | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Butterfly | 58c | 23.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Butterfly | 54c | 23.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Butterfly | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Butterfly | 61c | 19.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Butterfly | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Butterfly | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Butterfly | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Just Players - Map 2 WinnerButterfly won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.