TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Spurs, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$288,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$304,405

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,997 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets75c109,165$82,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,900.3247848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Spurs25c20,838$5,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,265.711,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Spurs24c17,788$4,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,269.237647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Spurs24c14,458$3,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,451.2733931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa67…0ef4backed Spurs0c13,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.858016.3%13 W · 67 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Spurs4c12,997$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.873426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Spurs24c12,045$2,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,890.833752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Spurs25c8,662$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.2977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Spurs25c7,509$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.1517348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Spurs14c6,812$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.5734532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs9c6,774$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.043,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b63…6c10backed Spurs4c6,402$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.871323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-60.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Spurs9c6,239$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.6570640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs24c6,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Rockets77c6,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.987860.3%47 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Spurs26c5,769$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008343.4%36 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Spurs26c5,721$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.520238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs25c5,631$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.461,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Spurs25c4,809$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.611,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Spurs27c4,114$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.711443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe663…6462backed Rockets73c4,110$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.596747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Spurs0c3,934$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.47502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc254…b899backed Spurs13c3,783$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.326121.3%13 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Spurs9c3,460$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.41,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Spurs23c3,088$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.3196447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Spurs22c2,999$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.7540627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Spurs1c2,837$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3737627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x242e…ee63backed Rockets75c2,660$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.662568%17 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+40.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Spurs4c2,122$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9436514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockets76c2,045$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.830351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf137…a557backed Spurs22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45ad…7f76backed Rockets78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Spurs3c1,816$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6565726%171 W · 486 L+2.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Spurs24c1,802$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.5287647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Rockets78c1,500$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33030251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0825…ddbcbacked Spurs1c1,481$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.242729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7da…deb7backed Spurs23c1,468$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.751154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed Rockets75c1,336$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.9411250.9%57 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Spurs17c1,188$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Spurs19c1,119$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.647229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Spurs6c1,109$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8219231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Rockets75c1,000$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.550245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs25c999.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Spurs11c997.58$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6645135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Spurs23c940.42$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.323135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d51…a3cbbacked Rockets78c916.67$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.67850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Rockets76c901.78$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4327546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Rockets79c858.37$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.2617546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Spurs24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Spurs24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Spurs25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1385…7097backed Spurs11c800$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Spurs24c750.28$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs25c704.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Spurs25c670.39$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.68345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Spurs7c644.09$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4518632.8%61 W · 125 L-12.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockets75c599.69$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6925536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Spurs24c569.94$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4673647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc3…7e27backed Rockets78c552.56$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.56955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224b…d105backed Rockets75c501.79$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.797169%49 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6af…d133backed Spurs24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202015%3 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0a4…c994backed Rockets75c480$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Rockets78c479.96$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5918354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets76c473.98$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.761,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Spurs21c460.67$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7473051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs25c426.86$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.712,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Spurs24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010240.2%41 W · 61 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Spurs9c391.38$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.059618.8%18 W · 78 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Rockets74c385.14$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.145062%31 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Spurs24c339.47$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.489724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x176b…a16fbacked Rockets76c328.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.951275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed Spurs26c305$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.315237.5%57 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Spurs22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6672341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Rockets78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6650453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Rockets77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Spurs20c294.15$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8330440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Spurs24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025851.6%133 W · 125 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Spurs24c245$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.550047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b8…3842backed Spurs7c235$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.451811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-72.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5362…760abacked Spurs21c231$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Rockets75c226.64$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6625865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Spurs23c219.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.610426%27 W · 77 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Spurs23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed91…4bd6backed Spurs26c211.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c56…5a66backed Spurs24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011040.9%45 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd9…2af2backed Spurs25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504936.7%18 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd16…7467backed Rockets79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Spurs7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1436434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Spurs23c196$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0362349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Spurs25c194.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0173445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Rockets78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3323658.1%137 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd85f…e795backed Rockets77c148.51$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.16450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b1e…808bbacked Spurs24c138.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.311136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets75c137.64$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.411,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf61f…f90fbacked Rockets78c133.96$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.135949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb162…28cfbacked Spurs23c133.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Spurs27c132.56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7926431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Rockets77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.878943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5dc…0bc1backed Rockets77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.874963.3%31 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.