TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Granby: Keegan Rice vs Arthur Gea

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arthur Geaof Keegan Rice, Arthur Gea
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26b4…b8a9backed Keegan Rice29c19,093$5,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,55536145.2%163 W · 198 L-19.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Arthur Gea74c14,358$10,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,726.128,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Keegan Rice13c7,382$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9711,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Keegan Rice22c7,227$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59071729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Arthur Gea79c6,252$4,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.7911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Keegan Rice18c5,533$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.948226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Keegan Rice16c3,040$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.3737738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Keegan Rice22c2,255$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.985,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Arthur Gea74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52053043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Keegan Rice25c1,931$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.626,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Arthur Gea75c1,599$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.153,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Arthur Gea80c1,453$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.174,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Keegan Rice16c1,213$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.722,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Keegan Rice16c1,150$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.422033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed Arthur Gea79c1,066$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.874158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Keegan Rice17c949$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7172638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Keegan Rice22c872.73$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19211045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked Arthur Gea78c831.18$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.864456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Keegan Rice16c801$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1656827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Keegan Rice12c733.58$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0318044.4%80 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc28f…d02bbacked Keegan Rice25c704.39$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.286233.9%21 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Keegan Rice21c600$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1267,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Arthur Gea77c586.18$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.633558.5%196 W · 139 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Keegan Rice18c556.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed Arthur Gea79c510.03$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.843357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Arthur Gea76c498.15$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.334,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Keegan Rice30c429.67$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.831,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Keegan Rice19c428.85$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.191,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Keegan Rice17c399.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1dcb…9f08backed Keegan Rice7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520635.9%74 W · 132 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Keegan Rice21c346.34$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.365,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe39f…a954backed Keegan Rice14c315.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.06540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Keegan Rice19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Keegan Rice19c252.51$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4392352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Keegan Rice20c248.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.092,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf84b…6455backed Keegan Rice5c236.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.771217.4%9 W · 112 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Keegan Rice20c226$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.255748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Arthur Gea70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2991754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x820d…2236backed Keegan Rice7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154615.2%7 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe011…159fbacked Keegan Rice14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Keegan Rice18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3686835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Keegan Rice20c190.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.11,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Keegan Rice26c185.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.762,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Keegan Rice17c180$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3632546.2%150 W · 175 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c8…a25cbacked Arthur Gea78c130$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.316451.8%85 W · 79 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Keegan Rice24c116.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.476355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Keegan Rice17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Keegan Rice20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Keegan Rice19c90$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7734…017dbacked Arthur Gea78c89.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5514158.9%83 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Keegan Rice19c87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2411145.9%51 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Keegan Rice18c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.585637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Keegan Rice21c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3548245.6%220 W · 262 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95d…d369backed Arthur Gea75c59.05$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9117050.6%86 W · 84 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Keegan Rice21c58.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.296,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Keegan Rice20c57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Keegan Rice18c55.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027239%106 W · 166 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Arthur Gea78c55.3$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.371,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf587…cc7bbacked Arthur Gea71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.56870.6%48 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Keegan Rice24c48.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.642,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Arthur Gea75c46.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.61,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff1…4766backed Arthur Gea80c35.37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0716762.3%104 W · 63 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Arthur Gea76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.273951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a2…b515backed Arthur Gea77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.99360.2%56 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…16c9backed Arthur Gea73c29.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.194753.2%25 W · 22 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+76.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9575…cd83backed Arthur Gea69c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6822046.8%103 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b89…9183backed Arthur Gea78c27.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9920566.8%137 W · 68 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…7ce5backed Arthur Gea77c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.649239.1%36 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Arthur Gea78c23.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2358665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Arthur Gea79c22.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.71,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f89…434cbacked Arthur Gea76c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.281361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65a3…c1e3backed Arthur Gea68c21.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.991782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Arthur Gea80c21.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2999244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbef…848cbacked Arthur Gea72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc09d…d110backed Arthur Gea77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.63151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4043…b616backed Arthur Gea77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+49.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Arthur Gea74c18.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.735461.3%217 W · 137 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Arthur Gea75c17.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2760452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Arthur Gea71c17.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6522…3a5abacked Arthur Gea77c16.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.710847.2%51 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Arthur Gea76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.678857.1%450 W · 338 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.