CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19725cd4e55885ca9fdb6aa1aec601c25a60e9c51cb7f114584297691029da09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, SemperFi Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed SemperFi Esports | 34c | 5,097$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.39 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 1,896$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.27 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed SemperFi Esports | 5c | 1,843$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…0ca7backed PARIVISION | 69c | 1,706$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.47 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed SemperFi Esports | 30c | 1,271$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.09 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aff…7035backed SemperFi Esports | 7c | 1,000$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed SemperFi Esports | 2c | 847$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION | 69c | 807.93$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.22 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed PARIVISION | 61c | 766.46$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.92 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SemperFi Esports | 15c | 731.93$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed SemperFi Esports | 7c | 726$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed SemperFi Esports | 14c | 713$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PARIVISION | 77c | 583$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.08 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed PARIVISION | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed SemperFi Esports | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed PARIVISION | 63c | 400$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SemperFi Esports | 33c | 317$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed PARIVISION | 70c | 302$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed PARIVISION | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SemperFi Esports | 14c | 291.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed SemperFi Esports | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked SemperFi Esports | 27c | 258$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed PARIVISION | 69c | 244.95$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed PARIVISION | 65c | 229.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SemperFi Esports | 12c | 214.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SemperFi Esports | 33c | 145.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed PARIVISION | 73c | 138.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed SemperFi Esports | 31c | 129$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked SemperFi Esports | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed SemperFi Esports | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed PARIVISION | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked SemperFi Esports | 46c | 85.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed SemperFi Esports | 18c | 68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9d…ddf8backed PARIVISION | 55c | 64.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed SemperFi Esports | 37c | 59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed SemperFi Esports | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed SemperFi Esports | 30c | 56.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SemperFi Esports | 32c | 55.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed SemperFi Esports | 19c | 53.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed SemperFi Esports | 19c | 53.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed SemperFi Esports | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SemperFi Esports | 30c | 45.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 40.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49df…f885backed PARIVISION | 60c | 40.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 39.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c9…9c9dbacked SemperFi Esports | 33c | 39.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked SemperFi Esports | 37c | 36.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed SemperFi Esports | 33c | 34.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked SemperFi Esports | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…2489backed PARIVISION | 70c | 17.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 212 | 52.8%112 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1PARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs SemperFi Esports - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs SemperFi Esports (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.