Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a22daa6d11b499d3eea7ae7b034714bd95cf5f5b4d0363ccc346731828c026f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 66c | 8,202$5,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.01 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 21c | 5,073$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.42 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed No | 6c | 3,674$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 21c | 3,648$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.04 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a29…25a8backed No | 15c | 3,570$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 15c | 2,774$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.32 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 46c | 2,238$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.48 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +305.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 8c | 1,911$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.4 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 15c | 1,480$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.55 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,433$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed No | 21c | 1,250$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.63 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…3979backed No | 6c | 597.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 11c | 478.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 14c | 465$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 7c | 425.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dd…0fe4backed Yes | 58c | 421.41$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 5c | 361.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 7c | 340$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 10c | 315.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 16c | 304.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked No | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 31c | 276.27$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 7c | 269.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 6c | 255.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 15c | 186.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 30c | 179.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 50c | 178.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…185cbacked No | 15c | 170.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 15c | 168.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 18c | 161.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 11c | 139.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 16c | 126.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 35c | 123$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 29c | 120.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yes | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 16c | 115.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 14c | 113.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 12c | 111$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 78c | 108.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 23c | 103.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 13c | 100.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 13c | 91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 66c | 90.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 78c | 75.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed No | 15c | 69.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 35c | 63.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Yes | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 31c | 55.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 52c | 44.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc4…27dfbacked Yes | 74c | 31.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc2…40e7backed Yes | 64c | 30.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 38c | 27.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55f8…2544backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 59c | 20.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Yes | 64c | 15.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ end in a draw?No won
- Will KÍ win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.