TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Vicenza: Tristan Boyer vs Miguel Damas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tristan Boyerof Tristan Boyer, Miguel Damas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Tristan Boyer66c6,782$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.3950458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Miguel Damas11c6,160$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.8311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Miguel Damas30c4,229$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.978,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Tristan Boyer76c4,180$3,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.881,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Miguel Damas17c3,204$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.744,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Miguel Damas20c2,076$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.888,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Miguel Damas2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Miguel Damas42c1,642$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.699458.5%55 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Miguel Damas30c1,438$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4255,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Tristan Boyer74c1,248$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.066,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Miguel Damas33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Tristan Boyer61c1,025$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.114835.8%53 W · 95 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Miguel Damas33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3904…0cafbacked Miguel Damas6c855.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502010%2 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Tristan Boyer59c839.99$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.410954.1%59 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Miguel Damas34c830.21$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.073,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Tristan Boyer57c794.87$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.871,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Tristan Boyer67c746.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2628562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Miguel Damas43c694.88$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.424,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaba5…4e0ebacked Tristan Boyer58c688.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2316055%88 W · 72 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…5715backed Miguel Damas41c672.76$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.4410234.3%35 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Tristan Boyer44c670.19$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.7128933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Miguel Damas17c615$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.774,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Tristan Boyer55c546.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9842930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Tristan Boyer46c503$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.382,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Miguel Damas39c500.21$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.553,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Miguel Damas42c500$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.879,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Tristan Boyer74c499.99$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1291,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Tristan Boyer68c479.25$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2499244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Tristan Boyer41c447.09$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.0910430.8%32 W · 72 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miguel Damas62c401$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.621,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Miguel Damas18c383.88$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5366139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Miguel Damas40c366.39$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14822245.9%102 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Tristan Boyer64c306.03$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.562,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Tristan Boyer58c286.7$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.784968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Tristan Boyer53c278.9$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.432,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Miguel Damas9c248$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1226921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Miguel Damas33c236.52$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.051,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Tristan Boyer58c226.8$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1691755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Miguel Damas34c220$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.823247%109 W · 123 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Miguel Damas38c188.92$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.56,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Tristan Boyer49c188$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0343750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Tristan Boyer51c170.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7942125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04a…7cffbacked Tristan Boyer61c164.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.596848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Tristan Boyer66c164.18$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.821,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Miguel Damas34c164.18$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.827,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc0…694ebacked Miguel Damas8c156$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Tristan Boyer65c153.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7981256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Miguel Damas39c150.7$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5192138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Miguel Damas8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Tristan Boyer70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8522540.4%91 W · 134 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Tristan Boyer42c147.89$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1678350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Miguel Damas38c126.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.191,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tristan Boyer66c119.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.268,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Miguel Damas41c110.49$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.32,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Miguel Damas58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Miguel Damas33c96.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Miguel Damas66c94.82$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Miguel Damas40c94.77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Miguel Damas28c93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4132935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Tristan Boyer64c87$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3235060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Tristan Boyer64c83.52$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.062,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Miguel Damas20c82.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.662,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Tristan Boyer74c82$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.071,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Tristan Boyer58c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.321,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2407…7dcabacked Miguel Damas40c74.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Tristan Boyer67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.632,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Miguel Damas16c68.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.893349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ab9…5be4backed Miguel Damas38c65.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Miguel Damas57c61.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.092,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Miguel Damas41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b85…b31bbacked Tristan Boyer45c58.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0811541.7%48 W · 67 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Miguel Damas39c55.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.611,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Tristan Boyer64c50.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3637158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x831d…0705backed Miguel Damas62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3126563.8%169 W · 96 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Miguel Damas34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Miguel Damas35c49.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2539149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Miguel Damas61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027437.2%102 W · 172 L-21.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a88…4e57backed Tristan Boyer65c46.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.33740.5%15 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Miguel Damas39c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3567838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Miguel Damas51c44.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.431,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc4…73e3backed Miguel Damas36c42.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.212458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Miguel Damas38c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.441,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Tristan Boyer64c37.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4859965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Tristan Boyer36c37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.845,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Miguel Damas37c35.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8385742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x213d…37cdbacked Miguel Damas37c33.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aae…6472backed Tristan Boyer66c31.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.825563.6%35 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e9e…22e9backed Miguel Damas64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207846.2%36 W · 42 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Miguel Damas39c30.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1326244.7%117 W · 145 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d75…26fbbacked Tristan Boyer65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7716358.9%96 W · 67 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf676…9a00backed Tristan Boyer65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7720158.7%118 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Tristan Boyer65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7788560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Tristan Boyer49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6158750.4%296 W · 291 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Tristan Boyer66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.242353.7%227 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82e8…ffcabacked Miguel Damas40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Tristan Boyer56c24.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.719474.7%145 W · 49 L+34.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Miguel Damas69c22.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7347274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0bb…4c8abacked Tristan Boyer78c22.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b31…b2a3backed Tristan Boyer66c21.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.152842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.