MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24f6c018549b00d279a3516c6e530cb4542681d82d7c4be085ae7190552e20a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Arizona Diamondbacks, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $463,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $493,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 276,084$132,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132,520.48 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 116,478$61,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,526.67 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 80,050$41,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,424 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 26,786$14,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,589.28 | 988 | 49.9%493 W · 495 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 20,900$10,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,032 | 280 | 53.2%149 W · 131 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 17,300$8,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,304 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 17,191$8,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,251.63 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 15,899$7,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,472.62 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 15,238$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314 | 1,692 | 50.2%849 W · 843 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 11,253$6,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,172.49 | 3,107 | 48.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 10,245$5,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,903.96 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.94 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 9,000$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,274.99 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 5,195$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.31 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…31f1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 4,297$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.42 | 1,537 | 51.2%787 W · 750 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 3,900$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.13 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 3,854$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.08 | 1,415 | 48.9%692 W · 723 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 3,471$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.77 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 3,349$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.06 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 3,158$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.87 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 3,076$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.09 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 1,083 | 48.1%521 W · 562 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 18c | 2,580$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.05 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,554$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.38 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 2,400$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.17 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 2,098$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.63 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,988$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.66 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 1,636$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.18 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,586$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.36 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,316$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.65 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 1,191$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 4c | 1,117$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 1,071$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.86 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 1,031$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Texas Rangers | 61c | 899.18$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.22 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 870.5$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.44 | 1,530 | 59.4%909 W · 621 L | +82.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 719.99$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.39 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 5c | 695.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 691.44$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 660.48$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.48 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 652.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.17 | 525 | 47.4%249 W · 276 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 548$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 542.96$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.05 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 539.93$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.37 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 500$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 489.37$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.28 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 952 | 34.3%327 W · 625 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 335.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.43 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 322.16$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.97 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 320$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 1,423 | 43.6%620 W · 803 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 320$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 307.48$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | -22.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 279.23$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 279.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.09 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 257.71$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 1,141 | 42.7%487 W · 654 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 252.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 2,150 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,071 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 250$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 249.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 223.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 222.76$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 203.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,448 | 50%724 W · 724 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 195.36$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 189.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 186.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 174$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 553 | 47%260 W · 293 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x043f…ca25backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 169.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 1,331 | 44.1%587 W · 744 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 1,298 | 43.6%566 W · 732 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…bef3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 152.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 147.2$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 143.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…7882backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 142.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 140$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 139.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 137.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 125.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd490…8d59backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 122.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 120.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1,226 | 43.6%534 W · 692 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.