MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25f0275147dfd55ebe3fa041f8865150b797cf443143608195aa24b65b2706c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 53c | 13,430$7,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,254.97 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 55c | 13,233$7,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,955.05 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 8,715$4,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,212.88 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Over | 48c | 6,006$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.23 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Under | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 3,415$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.44 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 2,993$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.35 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 2,371$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 2,048$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.56 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 47c | 2,024$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.4 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 1,817$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.16 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 47c | 1,214$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.92 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 48c | 1,096$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.84 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 35c | 1,088$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.79 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 46c | 1,088$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.36 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 53c | 1,043$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.53 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 53c | 957.24$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.9 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 32c | 936.96$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 54c | 917$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.82 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 46c | 843.99$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.24 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 814.78$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.08 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 760.66$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.53 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 564$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 56c | 545.22$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.9 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Over | 55c | 526.88$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.78 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 482$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.54 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 54c | 477.41$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.61 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 47c | 463.47$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.83 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 46c | 441.94$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.29 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 54c | 428.98$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.33 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 397.07$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.65 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 49c | 397$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.47 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 47c | 390$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.35 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 52c | 352.8$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.44 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 56c | 291.01$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 282$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.82 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 46c | 274$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 49c | 254.53$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.81 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 183.93$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 181.33$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 54c | 167.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 48c | 133.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 54c | 131.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 53c | 131$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 131$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…6569backed Under | 39c | 127.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Under | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 47c | 116$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 31c | 111.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 54c | 96.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 53c | 92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Under | 54c | 83.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 25c | 78.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 41c | 73.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 51c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 47c | 54.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 49c | 53.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 50.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…1c47backed Over | 51c | 48.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 63c | 45.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Under | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 42.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a7d2backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 54c | 34.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 51c | 34.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…dc4ebacked Under | 54c | 33.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 50c | 33.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2c…b816backed Under | 56c | 31.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Under | 54c | 26.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 39c | 25.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 49c | 25.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12a5…1c38backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York YankeesMinnesota Twins won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.