TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, New York Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$487,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$493,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,194 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Minnesota Twins45c49,360$22,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,230.631,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Minnesota Twins60c39,378$23,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,751.0926056.9%148 W · 112 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees43c37,620$16,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,300.884,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees42c33,376$14,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,137.4710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees43c31,801$13,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,715.392,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees56c20,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,20098149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins57c18,317$10,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,964.111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins46c16,907$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,129.521,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed New York Yankees55c16,128$8,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,870.428553.3%152 W · 133 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins55c16,021$8,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,173.34,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5252…ca8cbacked New York Yankees57c14,151$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees27c11,566$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,088.688,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Minnesota Twins58c10,726$6,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,512.1748451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed New York Yankees43c10,289$4,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,449.991,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Yankees55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.7548952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees55c6,700$3,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,684.736,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees55c6,211$3,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,398.485,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed Minnesota Twins60c6,098$3,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.0215659%92 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees33c6,037$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.8712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Minnesota Twins72c5,325$3,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.3921767.7%147 W · 70 L+36.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked New York Yankees1c5,101$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010913.8%15 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Minnesota Twins55c4,989$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.6782636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…2ff4backed Minnesota Twins60c4,878$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.2212759.8%76 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins55c4,001$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.561,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed New York Yankees55c3,818$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1004860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked New York Yankees44c3,803$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.549831.6%31 W · 67 L-13.1wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Yankees42c3,661$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5251,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…3aaebacked Minnesota Twins59c3,659$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.8612759.1%75 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed New York Yankees46c3,290$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50022257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3050…1a35backed Minnesota Twins60c3,144$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.897154.9%39 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Minnesota Twins54c3,108$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.885645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Minnesota Twins45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees43c2,500$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.074,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Yankees44c2,498$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.913,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees55c2,402$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.444,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Minnesota Twins54c2,143$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.012759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Twins45c2,048$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.642,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees36c2,014$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.989,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dec…53b0backed Minnesota Twins48c1,980$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.262272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed New York Yankees56c1,903$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.92,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed New York Yankees29c1,594$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.5395045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins45c1,542$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.411,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees55c1,541$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.881,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Minnesota Twins45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.9861947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed New York Yankees55c1,444$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.3289153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Minnesota Twins50c1,303$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.6991252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Minnesota Twins56c1,291$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.2237032.7%121 W · 249 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked New York Yankees32c1,043$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.251,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Minnesota Twins59c1,000$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9433864.2%217 W · 121 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed New York Yankees56c891.39$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.1897050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Minnesota Twins58c888$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.9654048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Minnesota Twins58c846.99$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.7460043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Minnesota Twins61c774$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.8617752.5%93 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins44c723.92$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.876,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Minnesota Twins46c714.45$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.866050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Minnesota Twins44c681.71$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.3556253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed New York Yankees33c679.04$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.891,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Yankees4c654.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked New York Yankees29c635.36$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9436759.1%217 W · 150 L+26.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Minnesota Twins79c594.4$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0871850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed New York Yankees10c559.13$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed New York Yankees56c535.66$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.971,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees55c518.21$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.981,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed New York Yankees55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Minnesota Twins43c499.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28530647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Minnesota Twins44c494.37$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.3151545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked New York Yankees48c457.11$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4225950.2%130 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b5…7e9abacked Minnesota Twins45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.446946.4%32 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ee…e6c6backed Minnesota Twins45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.443762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Minnesota Twins45c444$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.21,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Minnesota Twins55c430$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.57557.3%43 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked New York Yankees45c430$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.544945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Minnesota Twins45c366.66$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.6694549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Minnesota Twins45c355$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2595252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Minnesota Twins45c343$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6555653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed New York Yankees34c337.9$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.552955.6%294 W · 235 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Minnesota Twins45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.331,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed New York Yankees56c323.72$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.287447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Minnesota Twins75c319.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.424,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Minnesota Twins47c312.02$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5244556.9%253 W · 192 L+27.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Minnesota Twins58c308$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3634639.6%137 W · 209 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6082…3323backed New York Yankees26c302.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked New York Yankees56c300.09$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1340447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.11,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked New York Yankees56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16841152.3%215 W · 196 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed New York Yankees40c286$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.791,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked Minnesota Twins45c266.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6740449.3%199 W · 205 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed New York Yankees56c263.1$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.361,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins63c262.7$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.638,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Minnesota Twins61c257.38$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3585148.5%413 W · 438 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed New York Yankees55c250$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2554945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52de…8f92backed Minnesota Twins80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014469.4%100 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed New York Yankees56c248.04$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.91,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad54…006abacked Minnesota Twins58c247.72$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0458060.5%351 W · 229 L+30.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Minnesota Twins44c240$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.426049.6%129 W · 131 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed New York Yankees49c239.98$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.392065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d9…659cbacked New York Yankees55c235.4$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Minnesota Twins45c233.33$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3367449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed New York Yankees25c228$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6840043%172 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.