MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x274d4aec367a8332f1a762092c80976407000d40cd95d6bd25e39d09cd204efc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Giants | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.5 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Red Sox | 45c | 12,219$5,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720.25 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 45c | 5,578$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.9 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Giants | 55c | 4,861$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.19 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 65c | 3,578$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.23 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Giants | 38c | 3,425$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 12c | 2,514$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.68 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Giants | 61c | 2,294$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.81 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Red Sox | 34c | 2,180$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.85 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 56c | 2,145$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.17 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Red Sox | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Giants | 54c | 1,853$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Giants | 43c | 1,812$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.98 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Red Sox | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.99 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Red Sox | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.89 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox | 34c | 1,357$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.99 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Giants | 20c | 1,277$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.3 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Giants | 75c | 1,268$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.65 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Red Sox | 13c | 1,115$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.43 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Red Sox | 29c | 1,107$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.11 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Giants | 17c | 1,016$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Giants | 21c | 1,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Red Sox | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 46c | 999.88$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.93 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 54c | 934.45$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.6 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Giants | 55c | 916.53$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.01 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 47c | 854.17$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.17 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Red Sox | 39c | 848.72$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.72 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Giants | 33c | 718.64$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Giants | 53c | 716.23$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.6 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Giants | 53c | 692.88$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.22 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Giants | 54c | 686.96$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.96 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Red Sox | 28c | 639.28$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.38 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Red Sox | 66c | 524.3$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.17 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Red Sox | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox | 46c | 499.95$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.97 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 53c | 491.54$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.51 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Giants | 54c | 473.98$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.95 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Red Sox | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Red Sox | 37c | 405.02$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.45 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Giants | 12c | 400.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Giants | 57c | 369.46$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.64 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Giants | 55c | 323.22$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.77 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Red Sox | 45c | 280.96$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.53 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 52c | 278.48$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.63 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Giants | 78c | 277.01$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.5 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Red Sox | 40c | 267.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.62 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Red Sox | 46c | 255$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Giants | 5c | 245$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Red Sox | 32c | 233.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.25 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Red Sox | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 62c | 198.36$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 53c | 192.72$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 31c | 186.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.12 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Giants | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…a1a1backed Giants | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Red Sox | 35c | 160$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Red Sox | 46c | 149.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Red Sox | 33c | 149.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 58c | 147.56$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Giants | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Giants | 27c | 135$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Red Sox | 39c | 131.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Red Sox | 45c | 122$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…c5e1backed Giants | 36c | 119.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Red Sox | 32c | 117.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Red Sox | 32c | 112.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Red Sox | 35c | 111.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Red Sox | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Red Sox | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 45c | 99.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Giants | 55c | 98.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Giants | 66c | 93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Red Sox | 34c | 82.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 46c | 65.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Red Sox | 47c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Red Sox | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Giants | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…77a4backed Giants | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Red Sox | 39c | 49.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Giants | 59c | 44.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Giants | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22d…6e49backed Red Sox | 46c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…1533backed Giants | 26c | 41.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Red Sox | 44c | 39.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Red Sox | 62c | 37.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Red Sox | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Red Sox | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb48…7f7cbacked Giants | 48c | 30.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Giants | 54c | 29.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a2…c12bbacked Giants | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Red Sox | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Giants | 54c | 24.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf077…5fabbacked Giants | 75c | 20.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Giants | 55c | 19.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.