Fifa International · resolved market
Darwin Núñez: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e4de2056302758ad153502b91d330069ecebfd9be1f0b07a79c9a9cbff35db9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 77c | 6,316$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.73 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 23c | 6,138$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.62 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 23c | 5,226$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.67 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 76c | 4,221$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.5 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 76c | 2,954$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.34 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed Yes | 24c | 2,276$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.99 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 27c | 1,331$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.83 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacb…ccc7backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c77…1bfebacked Yes | 24c | 524.71$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.93 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 380.47$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 78c | 366.67$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 78c | 359.38$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 271.72$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 76c | 260$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 23c | 254.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked No | 77c | 234.39$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 79c | 216$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 25c | 206.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e09…3250backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 79c | 175$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…a34cbacked Yes | 31c | 162.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Yes | 37c | 133.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 76c | 110.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…b303backed Yes | 29c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9e…fe9dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 73c | 91.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…edacbacked No | 75c | 91.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 62c | 81.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 238 | 38.7%92 W · 146 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…7fe3backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…a76ebacked Yes | 25c | 59.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…1014backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…80b2backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba9…cb2cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…944bbacked No | 78c | 29.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…2162backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…02eabacked No | 76c | 23.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54a…df26backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…fbd5backed No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…8086backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Darwin Núñez: 1+ goalsthis page
- Agustín Canobbio: 1+ goalsYes won
- Agustín Canobbio: 2+ goalsNo won
- Darwin Núñez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Darwin Núñez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Federico Valverde: 1+ assistsNo won
- Federico Valverde: 1+ goalsNo won
- Federico Valverde: 2+ goalsNo won
- Federico Valverde: 3+ shotsYes won
- Federico Viñas: 1+ assistsNo won
- Federico Viñas: 1+ goalsNo won
- Federico Viñas: 2+ goalsNo won
- Federico Viñas: 2+ shotsNo won
- Federico Viñas: 3+ goalsNo won
- Federico Viñas: 3+ shotsNo won
- Gilson Benchimol: 1+ goalsNo won
- Maximiliano Araújo: 1+ assistsYes won
- Maximiliano Araújo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Maximiliano Araújo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nicolás de la Cruz: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.