Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x318a85acfd2779b61377a27e1b2c66f8a98f7e2f1a431cecc532a0a8c9b03174
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked No | 69c | 1,098$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.47 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 31c | 800$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 28c | 668.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.65 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 12c | 338.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 32c | 317.48$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.47 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 27c | 244.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 56c | 201.92$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 35c | 196.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.32 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…e2bdbacked Yes | 41c | 172.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +20.6wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…fa45backed No | 66c | 152.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 28c | 152$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 23c | 148.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 30c | 143.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 49c | 142.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 70c | 142.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 70c | 141.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 37c | 123.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 78c | 121.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 49c | 119.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 73c | 117.09$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 27c | 116$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 115.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 25c | 103.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 73c | 101.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 68c | 99.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 90.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 72c | 90.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Yes | 31c | 79.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 24c | 79.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 79.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…0b53backed Yes | 27c | 77.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 72c | 77.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 80c | 76.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 135 | 88.1%119 W · 16 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 56c | 74.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 29c | 71.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed No | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 53c | 68.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 58c | 66.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 48c | 65.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 21c | 62.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 32c | 62.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 48c | 61.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…0a15backed Yes | 31c | 58.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 43c | 57.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 71c | 56.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…8a92backed Yes | 30c | 55.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 71c | 53.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…a5b9backed Yes | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 50.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 45c | 45.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 73c | 44.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 61c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 71c | 40.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7512…1986backed No | 70c | 39.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…f74ebacked Yes | 80c | 37.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…3f06backed Yes | 32c | 35.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0285…9050backed Yes | 33c | 34.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 71c | 34.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 73c | 33.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x796b…92c3backed No | 70c | 31.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked Yes | 32c | 31.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 37c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 40c | 30.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 64c | 29.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 69c | 28.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 39c | 28.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 70c | 28.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…7a24backed No | 72c | 27.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 51c | 26.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 68c | 23.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 69c | 23.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 68c | 21.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…8c1bbacked No | 71c | 21.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 76c | 20.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 74c | 20.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…840abacked Yes | 73c | 19.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 375 | 70.7%265 W · 110 L | +62.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 67c | 18.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 16.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…dd79backed No | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.