Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35ebe8a566f294d4c8c3b688f2247e6e6da1ab1e69b438a0c9734db3080da3d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 39c | 796.38$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.44 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 53c | 568.53$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.65 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 47c | 466.02$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.03 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 64c | 343$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.48 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 40c | 301.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 27c | 289.74$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 12c | 276.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…abbabacked Yes | 43c | 268.74$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 726 | 24.8%180 W · 546 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 46c | 245.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 38c | 202$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 39c | 195.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 63c | 161.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 18c | 156.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…a93bbacked Yes | 8c | 155$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 234 | 36.3%85 W · 149 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 145.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 142.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…d4fbbacked Yes | 50c | 139.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 26c | 137$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 30c | 131.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 62c | 122.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 71c | 114$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 73c | 107.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 102.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 52c | 101.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 35c | 101.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 261 | 42.1%110 W · 151 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…0208backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 48c | 99.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes | 43c | 92.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 51c | 88.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 87.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 59c | 81.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 53c | 77.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 42c | 75.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 59c | 74.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 46c | 74.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 50c | 74.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…4ea8backed Yes | 26c | 72.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 42c | 71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 71c | 69.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 66.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0ec3backed Yes | 31c | 62.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 132 | 66.7%88 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 50c | 61.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 37c | 61.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 45c | 59.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 51c | 59.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 42c | 56.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed No | 53c | 55.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Yes | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…fdc7backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked Yes | 41c | 46.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 38c | 39.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 39.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…fd73backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 50c | 38.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 65c | 33.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 50c | 29.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 63c | 29.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…d76ebacked Yes | 39c | 28.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 117 | 29.9%35 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ea…0487backed Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 58c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 24.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 62c | 22.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 50c | 22.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 62c | 22.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed Yes | 47c | 21.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 51c | 21.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…db37backed No | 52c | 20.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 65c | 20.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61c…4dd6backed No | 72c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…38f5backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked No | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 62c | 18.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed No | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.