Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40c7da959c58986a6c01b9d8d591b4ac8714d62af6cdc47138846f01bf75bf1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5169…0455backed Yes | 48c | 1,553$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 39c | 1,087$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.04 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 71c | 698.52$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed Yes | 17c | 526$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 455.25$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 32c | 370.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 34c | 353.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 47c | 328.79$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 39c | 293.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.76 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 56c | 203.24$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…c935backed No | 54c | 201.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.62 | 217 | 35%76 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked Yes | 42c | 196.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 36c | 194$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 61c | 168$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b6c5backed No | 62c | 162.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 55c | 158.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 27c | 155.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 54c | 152.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 46c | 138.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 54c | 127.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 59c | 118$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 62c | 116.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 68c | 110.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 55c | 107.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc179…5cdebacked Yes | 48c | 100.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 289 | 46%133 W · 156 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 47c | 99.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 57c | 99.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…9373backed No | 59c | 97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 56 | 75%42 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 54c | 87.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 43c | 84.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 45c | 84.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked No | 60c | 82.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc038…1becbacked No | 56c | 77.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 60c | 75.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 213 | 70.9%151 W · 62 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 72c | 73.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 70.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 58c | 69.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…5506backed Yes | 47c | 67.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -6.7wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -57%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5712…8021backed No | 61c | 65.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 61c | 64.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 68c | 56.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 21c | 52.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…42efbacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…09d2backed No | 61c | 49.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc1…90cfbacked Yes | 54c | 49.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked No | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 241 | 41.9%101 W · 140 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed No | 77c | 45.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 25c | 44.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 352 | 64.8%228 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 40c | 41.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…34c4backed No | 67c | 40.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 292 | 81.5%238 W · 54 L | +27.9wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 38c | 38.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 44c | 37.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e8…2e62backed No | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 44c | 32.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…c577backed No | 64c | 32.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3e…3865backed No | 60c | 32.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 53c | 31.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…c4f6backed Yes | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42aa…7d26backed Yes | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed Yes | 40c | 28.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 60c | 27.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 66c | 25.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…c58bbacked No | 68c | 23.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb80c…827bbacked No | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…eaecbacked No | 77c | 22.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 66c | 22.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04c…a1aebacked No | 61c | 21.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed No | 66c | 21.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 252 | 61.9%156 W · 96 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 61c | 19.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…9335backed No | 76c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 68c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 72c | 15.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x965b…e530backed No | 78c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 16?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.