MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4191c77486aa930049c2597614202118e41124face958dcc9f90a6db957ef187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Athletics, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 67c | 22,222$14,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,324.39 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 24c | 16,339$3,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864.16 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab3…64afbacked Athletics | 37c | 11,484$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.13 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca7…bf27backed Houston Astros | 63c | 10,447$6,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,865.21 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Athletics | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Athletics | 17c | 4,191$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.06 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Houston Astros | 78c | 3,700$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.76 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 62c | 2,852$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.83 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Athletics | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 26c | 1,942$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.82 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Houston Astros | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.07 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Athletics | 37c | 1,086$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.82 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 62c | 1,050$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 34c | 1,023$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.35 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 76c | 974.32$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.01 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Houston Astros | 62c | 838.12$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.9 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics | 3c | 695$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 2c | 656.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Athletics | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Athletics | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Athletics | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Athletics | 13c | 419.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 16c | 410.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked Houston Astros | 63c | 387.94$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.54 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Athletics | 32c | 358.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Houston Astros | 63c | 345$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed Houston Astros | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Athletics | 33c | 293.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Houston Astros | 70c | 281.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Athletics | 17c | 270.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Athletics | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Houston Astros | 65c | 267.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Athletics | 38c | 265$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Athletics | 38c | 261.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Athletics | 21c | 254.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…e71abacked Athletics | 33c | 239$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Athletics | 20c | 235$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Houston Astros | 67c | 209$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Houston Astros | 62c | 203.08$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…9f18backed Houston Astros | 63c | 182.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Houston Astros | 63c | 180$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 37c | 144.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…c5c3backed Houston Astros | 67c | 136.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c2…b137backed Athletics | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 37c | 121.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Athletics | 37c | 121.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Athletics | 37c | 118.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Athletics | 12c | 113.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Houston Astros | 75c | 110.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Athletics | 36c | 110.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Athletics | 35c | 109.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Houston Astros | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Athletics | 31c | 92.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Houston Astros | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Houston Astros | 74c | 89.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Athletics | 30c | 82.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked Athletics | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed Athletics | 37c | 80.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 530 | 55.8%296 W · 234 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Athletics | 14c | 76.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Athletics | 28c | 74.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Houston Astros | 75c | 70.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Athletics | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 63c | 69.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Athletics | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Athletics | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Athletics | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Houston Astros | 63c | 58.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b6…f6dfbacked Athletics | 39c | 54.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 286 | 40.9%117 W · 169 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Houston Astros | 78c | 51.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Houston Astros | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Houston Astros | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 76 | 67.1%51 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Houston Astros | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Houston Astros | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…d012backed Athletics | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Houston Astros | 76c | 33.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Houston Astros | 66c | 32.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…f493backed Athletics | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…d26ebacked Houston Astros | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 205 | 68.3%140 W · 65 L | +20.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Athletics | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…5047backed Athletics | 38c | 26.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9490…3d24backed Houston Astros | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…99ecbacked Houston Astros | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4599…4152backed Houston Astros | 66c | 24.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x746c…36aabacked Houston Astros | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb4…f89dbacked Houston Astros | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 66 | 98.5%65 W · 1 L | +17.6wins | +0.27per pick | 72cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 72+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Houston Astros | 66c | 16.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Houston Astros | 75c | 15.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Houston Astros | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Houston Astros | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…2ba2backed Houston Astros | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…fad9backed Houston Astros | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 107 | 71%76 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 4.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.