TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Jazz, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$629,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$609,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $629,828 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xca21…b07cbacked Jazz24c59,118$14,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,038.3122458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz12c31,686$3,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,924.281,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Jazz9c26,817$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.746131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Jazz9c26,067$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.0236247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers76c17,475$13,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,166.023,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Jazz9c15,096$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.6630826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab24…9804backed Jazz0c10,050$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8b…b6aebacked Jazz0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Jazz12c9,410$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.0125939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz10c9,355$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.6296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Jazz11c8,782$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.9820238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Jazz9c8,333$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Jazz11c8,309$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9148343.4%36 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x155a…b549backed Jazz2c7,505$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305058%29 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Jazz11c7,317$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.126235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23df…f2f2backed Jazz10c6,081$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Jazz9c5,701$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.066750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa0…295dbacked Jazz0c5,059$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.641338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Clippers75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jazz10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc254…b899backed Jazz11c4,818$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5306121.3%13 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Jazz18c4,727$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.1434532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Jazz1c4,565$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6542434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Jazz10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Jazz18c3,827$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.0225833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz9c3,786$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.121,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Jazz10c3,703$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36237011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Jazz6c3,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1909534.7%33 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9940627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Jazz1c2,868$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.367502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f8…e042backed Jazz10c2,627$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.721346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c13…2096backed Jazz4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1e…7c4cbacked Jazz7c2,114$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.67241.7%30 W · 42 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz12c2,038$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ab…c5f7backed Jazz11c2,020$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.21947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz9c2,000$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1791,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Jazz8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16021723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Jazz10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Jazz9c1,974$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6630440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd9e…db11backed Jazz10c1,936$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.574434.1%15 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf58d…d707backed Jazz12c1,910$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.681030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a4…83cebacked Jazz11c1,890$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002937.9%11 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Jazz11c1,837$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5636423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked Jazz15c1,756$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.217163.4%45 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Jazz23c1,616$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.8517044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz11c1,600$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18136434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz10c1,598$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.771,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Jazz10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x176f…3bc5backed Jazz13c1,474$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6442…2163backed Jazz14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004738.3%18 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00b3…8cf7backed Jazz10c1,100$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Jazz10c1,100$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.915341.8%64 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd334…fcc2backed Jazz11c1,037$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1224725.9%64 W · 183 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfafc…2932backed Jazz11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107526.7%20 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz11c999.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Jazz12c999.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ae…77d9backed Jazz9c997.12$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.74540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Jazz17c959.65$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16527631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Jazz9c944.45$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8593036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9904…c488backed Jazz11c909.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008843.2%38 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Jazz11c909.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010240.2%41 W · 61 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac56…5b67backed Jazz18c884.63$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf11c…1290backed Jazz9c830.13$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Jazz15c828.73$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3119145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Jazz12c800$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9568642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x498f…7b7fbacked Jazz10c737.06$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.985545.5%25 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Jazz10c702.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2236643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c8…9832backed Jazz11c689.48$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ece…2340backed Jazz15c676.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004944.9%22 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Jazz10c652.27$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6350245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205d…b976backed Jazz10c600.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Jazz17c589.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Clippers75c565$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4517363.6%110 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x061e…8b82backed Jazz9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc80…2fdbbacked Jazz10c503.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.346634.8%23 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd569…ff3bbacked Jazz10c500.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504928.6%14 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Jazz11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5516928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Jazz4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011939.5%47 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Jazz15c500$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7413920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc3…3097backed Jazz11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Jazz10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Clippers80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Jazz10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010426%27 W · 77 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2032…3a22backed Jazz18c485.92$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.61643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Jazz13c476.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6067911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5632…748dbacked Jazz19c472.01$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.55628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f5…5c10backed Jazz11c418.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffb8…646dbacked Jazz10c401.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4910720.6%22 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf0…fd3abacked Jazz10c400.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b22…2401backed Jazz10c400.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+58.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Jazz13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9212232%39 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…6d3fbacked Jazz11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f82…d8c7backed Jazz10c399.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.59735.1%34 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Jazz15c399.27$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2922430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz13c388$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.442,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1197…40bfbacked Jazz11c374.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.141625%4 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Jazz10c367$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0437831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Jazz14c365.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8738027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Jazz14c314.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511441.2%47 W · 67 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.