Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil to score first vs. Scotland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46e298e5329d4cc59d1b45624733f3e4cd5cdd4c2d43821ed2e5848fb1725a22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 74c | 4,163$3,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.5 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 26c | 1,844$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.03 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 74c | 1,419$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 25c | 1,135$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.43 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 26c | 1,111$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.86 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 28c | 999.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 25c | 999.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 23c | 980.42$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.52 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…9613backed Yes | 75c | 810.77$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 25c | 699.94$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.98 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 29c | 566.81$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.61 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…a35abacked Yes | 75c | 429.33$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 25c | 282.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…7edbbacked Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 27c | 273$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 27c | 269.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 27c | 213.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 67c | 192.32$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 19c | 160.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 20c | 142.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…9aabbacked Yes | 71c | 118.17$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 26c | 110.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 26c | 107$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Yes | 75c | 101.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 25c | 94.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 26c | 92.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…84b1backed No | 27c | 79.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c3…13b7backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…b7d0backed Yes | 71c | 53.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 26c | 44.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…a582backed Yes | 75c | 41.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f5…42c2backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0637…0facbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…0e2fbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…a454backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…cecdbacked Yes | 75c | 24.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f0…6b64backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…0f18backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…34d6backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…7fb1backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…9b5abacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 71c | 19.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed Yes | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil to score first vs. Scotland?this page
- Scotland to score first vs. Brazil?No won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.