WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4af327c96a0e76279989b6acbe97a0fd143b90d500c3094c8d38021a0de495a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 79c | 14,775$11,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.48 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 17c | 4,778$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.76 | 348 | 26.4%92 W · 256 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Over | 14c | 3,624$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.3 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 23c | 3,268$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.23 | 314 | 43%135 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 2,143$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.81 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 1,721$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.52 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 50c | 1,680$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 53c | 1,629$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.16 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 23c | 1,536$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.87 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 1,045$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.94 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.72 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 51c | 975.76$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.64 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 28c | 638.54$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.74 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 24c | 612.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.57 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 37c | 501.5$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.82 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 22c | 463.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 18c | 381.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 26c | 315.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 23c | 287$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 43c | 280.86$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.2 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Over | 57c | 199.05$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 77c | 195.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 23c | 168$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 145.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 22c | 123$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 70c | 121$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 242 | 55.4%134 W · 108 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 47c | 98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 31c | 94.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 31c | 81.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 23c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Over | 26c | 74.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 70.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 50c | 66.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 66.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 60c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 56c | 62.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 327 | 49.5%162 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 51c | 61.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 60c | 55.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 60c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 53c | 40.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 47c | 32.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 26.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 62c | 26.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 48c | 22.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 174.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles SparksSeattle Storm won
- Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 172.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 173.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.