Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b8558a34523a1182018f2691803ea28811d44e95a1dbf972184193b20bbd4c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 56c | 1,150$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.45 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 41c | 813.29$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.47 | 382 | 43.2%165 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 34c | 653.23$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.23 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 11c | 393.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed Yes | 46c | 373.89$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 46c | 356.04$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.17 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 41c | 337$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 61c | 296$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 48c | 266.34$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.66 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 48c | 260.81$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.49 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 36c | 260.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.56 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 58c | 243.44$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 50c | 216.83$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 64c | 180.74$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 59c | 174.51$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 60c | 172.11$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…db74backed No | 31c | 161$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 260 | 25%65 W · 195 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1f…dbdabacked Yes | 47c | 160.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…b975backed Yes | 70c | 149.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 45c | 148.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked Yes | 54c | 144.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 283 | 68.6%194 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 41c | 138.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 53c | 125.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…c8f9backed Yes | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed Yes | 56c | 97.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 51c | 96.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…149bbacked No | 53c | 93.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 205 | 69.8%143 W · 62 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 16c | 91.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 42c | 90.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2572…80dbbacked Yes | 59c | 86.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 58c | 85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…d8e3backed No | 41c | 84.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ed…e634backed Yes | 58c | 82.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…ed72backed Yes | 59c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 41c | 81.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…e2e1backed No | 41c | 77.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a5…abfdbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 51c | 68.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 61c | 67.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 67c | 67.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 41c | 66.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 308 | 34.4%106 W · 202 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked No | 44c | 66.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 47c | 63.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 50c | 59.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed Yes | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 43c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…d814backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb67…970abacked Yes | 60c | 49.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 38c | 49.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Yes | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked No | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 59c | 39.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 285 | 46.3%132 W · 153 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed Yes | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 385 | 60.3%232 W · 153 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 57c | 34.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 48c | 34.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 56c | 34.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 34c | 34.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…105fbacked Yes | 52c | 30.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…e538backed Yes | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…2f8dbacked Yes | 45c | 26.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed Yes | 58c | 26.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 468 | 57.3%268 W · 200 L | -22.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 49c | 25.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 198 | 61.1%121 W · 77 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac22…363ebacked Yes | 54c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…b206backed Yes | 62c | 21.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…28b8backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f94…207ebacked Yes | 73c | 18.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on August 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.