Fifa International · resolved market
Uzbekistan leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ccfe7e6d2074816bfb3e535e9b3dae7530723b71796789d66e2a89e769ed02f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 16,878$9,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,411.9 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 4c | 9,857$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.86 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked Yes | 16c | 7,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 7,221$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,611.47 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 17c | 6,436$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.49 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 18c | 5,606$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,606.05 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 77c | 2,832$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.95 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed No | 2c | 2,641$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 2,529$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.61 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked No | 1c | 2,067$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 7c | 1,833$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Yes | 28c | 1,492$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.32 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 1,219$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.14 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 78c | 1,193$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.12 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 1,146$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.15 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 15c | 999.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.66 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 842.63$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.59 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 31c | 729.35$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.68 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked No | 37c | 592.83$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.6 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 25c | 485.91$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.38 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 75c | 473.25$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.94 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 70c | 450.64$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.31 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 17c | 447.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 64c | 423.52$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.85 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 60c | 395.32$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.24 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 73c | 336$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40b…9ab4backed No | 9c | 322.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 75c | 305.16$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed No | 34c | 299.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 38c | 258.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Yes | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes | 19c | 193.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 64c | 163.36$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…18a1backed Yes | 79c | 127.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 71c | 110.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 238 | 38.7%92 W · 146 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…102cbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 47c | 98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 19c | 90.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…fcb9backed No | 36c | 83.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 18c | 70.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 26c | 70.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 345 | 40.3%139 W · 206 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked Yes | 25c | 68.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Yes | 17c | 68.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 235 | 40.9%96 W · 139 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked Yes | 46c | 63.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +14.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 77c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 44c | 52.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb11f…336fbacked No | 53c | 48.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 45c | 48.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 54c | 32.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…1db0backed Yes | 73c | 31.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 74c | 26.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 129 | 58.9%76 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d1…48b0backed Yes | 74c | 18.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uzbekistan leading at halftime?this page
- DR Congo leading at halftime?No won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.