Fifa International · resolved market
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc461e0d03d4ef282786bd367eb85110046583786c67336dc2fc8bc91f0208f6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2184…4c8ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 44c | 6,839$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.82 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 6,218$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.85 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 43c | 3,459$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 2,998$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.24 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 12c | 2,420$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 19c | 1,669$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.2 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 56c | 1,570$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 55c | 1,526$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.53 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 1,240$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.59 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 1,197$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.88 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 1,084$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.94 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 46c | 1,016$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.57 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 57c | 624.88$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.7 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 445.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.9 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 362.01$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 39c | 346.79$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 48c | 341.91$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 44c | 289$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 50c | 284.72$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.51 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 71c | 258.68$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 24c | 251.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…71a4backed Yes | 25c | 232.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 69c | 229.9$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 28c | 197.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Yes | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 44c | 154.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 45c | 136.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 111$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yes | 53c | 101.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…4211backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 44c | 91.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 78c | 90.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 48c | 85.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 54c | 83.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 17c | 83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 48c | 79.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked No | 57c | 73.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 51c | 69.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…17e6backed Yes | 27c | 62.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 48c | 62.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 72c | 52.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Yes | 32c | 52.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8194…5368backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 31c | 41.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 56c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…ba99backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Yes | 43c | 38.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…3b32backed No | 57c | 34.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 72c | 34.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yes | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 51c | 32.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 65c | 26.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 56c | 25.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a29…3f0bbacked Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 57c | 23.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 276 | 63%174 W · 102 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…eed6backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 229 | 57.6%132 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Draw at halftime?this page
- DR Congo leading at halftime?No won
- Uzbekistan leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.