Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x543613112c5189ea7a2f29d3192a753ea2d14af92f353682d11d12cec4da3af8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Yandex, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Team Yandex | 26c | 37,749$9,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,998.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Falcons | 74c | 13,600$10,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.1 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Team Yandex | 25c | 6,395$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.69 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Falcons | 75c | 5,786$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.35 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Team Yandex | 11c | 5,095$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.36 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 4,892$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.89 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…d789backed Team Falcons | 73c | 4,055$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5f5bbacked Team Yandex | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons | 74c | 3,905$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.41 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 3,559$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.4 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Falcons | 73c | 3,190$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.3 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 2,425$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.6 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Team Yandex | 27c | 2,360$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.01 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 1,971$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.63 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…ca15backed Team Falcons | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Falcons | 73c | 1,347$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.73 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Yandex | 25c | 1,200$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons | 70c | 1,194$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.28 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 992$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.92 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 54cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc63f…8032backed Team Falcons | 73c | 959.29$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Team Falcons | 75c | 956$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Yandex | 15c | 949.47$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.42 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 74c | 944.25$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.6 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 906.08$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.08 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex | 26c | 829.03$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.02 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 778.9$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.3 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Yandex | 28c | 728.65$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.76 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…536bbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 698.14$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…b150backed Team Yandex | 24c | 636.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…73f6backed Team Yandex | 4c | 610.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…f0aebacked Team Yandex | 6c | 562$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 523.87$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.71 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7be…bbdcbacked Team Yandex | 16c | 494.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Team Yandex | 22c | 473.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Yandex | 25c | 450$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Falcons | 76c | 424.75$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.94 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 79c | 415.36$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…4895backed Team Falcons | 75c | 402.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…f8f9backed Team Falcons | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Yandex | 27c | 374.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…df70backed Team Falcons | 74c | 371.17$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…eba7backed Team Falcons | 78c | 325.53$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1988…80f5backed Team Yandex | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Falcons | 78c | 269$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1b…cd39backed Team Falcons | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Team Yandex | 26c | 241.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Yandex | 22c | 238.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed Team Falcons | 76c | 223.12$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Team Falcons | 75c | 202$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd50a…0887backed Team Falcons | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed Team Yandex | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Yandex | 12c | 199.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Yandex | 37c | 177.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb027…888fbacked Team Yandex | 23c | 177.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Team Yandex | 29c | 163.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Team Yandex | 26c | 151.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…3d7dbacked Team Yandex | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc850…f772backed Team Falcons | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Team Falcons | 73c | 114.93$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Team Yandex | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed Team Yandex | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…c255backed Team Yandex | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked Team Yandex | 21c | 94.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…197ebacked Team Yandex | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8a…7d24backed Team Falcons | 75c | 72.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1886…d87fbacked Team Yandex | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde50…cf46backed Team Falcons | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…2814backed Team Falcons | 75c | 51.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…fbf6backed Team Falcons | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…7b59backed Team Yandex | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb91…8700backed Team Falcons | 73c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Falcons | 73c | 21.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Team Falcons | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Team Falcons | 77c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…c215backed Team Falcons | 78c | 13.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.