Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54adcdcefb74ec962bf548dee4c05fca8cce7c3636fda6373393b5bd22df561e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 40c | 1,035$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.26 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked No | 57c | 600.21$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.93 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 9c | 557.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 41c | 528.37$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.02 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 23c | 457.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 62c | 386.97$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.72 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 60c | 352.2$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.28 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…488cbacked Yes | 42c | 261.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 59c | 259.67$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 251.85$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 59c | 232.72$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.01 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 47c | 222.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 58c | 198.2$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 58c | 176.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…13f4backed Yes | 23c | 176.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…56d9backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 17c | 143$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 61c | 139.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 31c | 131.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 58c | 125.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 124.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 53c | 124.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 54c | 123.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 52c | 121.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 32c | 119.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 62c | 118.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 13c | 117.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…626ebacked Yes | 34c | 112.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…f8a3backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 38c | 100.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 24c | 98.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 42c | 94.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 57c | 89.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 55c | 86.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 54c | 82.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 81.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 55c | 81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 33c | 80.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…ad52backed Yes | 38c | 79.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 41c | 74.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 13c | 74.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b95…0d70backed Yes | 41c | 73.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 54c | 72.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 54c | 72.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9248…6955backed Yes | 45c | 72.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 46c | 72.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 61c | 70.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 61c | 66.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…b8c7backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a5…132bbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7a…d837backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 41c | 60.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 66c | 59.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5174…8a39backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 40c | 52.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed No | 72c | 52.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…d0b7backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 59c | 47.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…64f6backed Yes | 42c | 47.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 46.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 63c | 44.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 56c | 44.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b19…bae5backed No | 64c | 42.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 61c | 41.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 59c | 40.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 60c | 39.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 68c | 37.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 55c | 37.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 40c | 37.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 62c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 52c | 35.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 48c | 35.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3580…714ebacked No | 64c | 34.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 63c | 34.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 60c | 34.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 46c | 34.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 67c | 33.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 60c | 33.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed13…ac4abacked Yes | 37c | 32.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed Yes | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 252 | 61.9%156 W · 96 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…0200backed Yes | 39c | 30.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 67c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…9143backed No | 66c | 27.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 27.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 72c | 26.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f37…1952backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 425 | 55.1%234 W · 191 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 58c | 24.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked No | 53c | 24.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.