Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b66466acaed1136dee47c2569e81de35a85d7b80a9f4e0b5fda56bf5d46d0b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 50c | 18,255$9,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,156.97 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 53c | 15,843$8,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,365.39 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 52c | 14,392$7,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,917.45 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 48c | 9,272$4,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,848.58 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 7,662$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.64 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 49c | 5,051$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.78 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed No | 55c | 1,661$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.34 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 59c | 1,434$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.06 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 56c | 999.96$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 54c | 915.94$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.11 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 25c | 890.6$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.25 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked No | 53c | 783.97$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.56 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 55c | 707.93$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.36 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…f1b2backed Yes | 46c | 633$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.82 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 8c | 632.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 17c | 622$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 17c | 610.11$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 10c | 601.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 45c | 418.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.97 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…a07bbacked No | 24c | 415.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 46c | 357.41$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…68d2backed No | 54c | 357.41$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 46c | 262.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…ffa1backed Yes | 73c | 232.27$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dd…c4c9backed No | 24c | 214.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a13…588fbacked Yes | 49c | 214.06$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.18 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5463…8748backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 16c | 205.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…b756backed No | 8c | 168.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6591…9cd0backed Yes | 44c | 163$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3949…3255backed Yes | 51c | 154.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…a82fbacked Yes | 47c | 154$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 139.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 44c | 133$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 43c | 124.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 55c | 119.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd630…19c6backed Yes | 76c | 104.76$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…98f4backed Yes | 52c | 96.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 51c | 91.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 51c | 83.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 82.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…550cbacked No | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 54c | 53.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b5…ea26backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed No | 21c | 47.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…4866backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb62…b61abacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…bc29backed Yes | 51c | 36.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 53c | 30.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 57c | 27.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed Yes | 80c | 25.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…ec38backed Yes | 79c | 25.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…005abacked Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed No | 54c | 23.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked No | 54c | 22.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 57c | 18.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands to win the second half?this page
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Second half draw?No won
- Sweden to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.