MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6120e5f1457724ad6f8f47855170c2e48c759bd6cf90164583933e8a8a19a0e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $587,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $605,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 306,690$162,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162,025.18 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 224,966$111,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,972.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 23,923$11,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,537.87 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 22,876$10,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,389.09 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 18,579$9,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,505.37 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…5df7backed Texas Rangers | 66c | 18,461$12,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,184.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 14,000$6,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,180 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 11,980$5,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,149.05 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 10,212$5,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,077.23 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 8,942$4,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560.61 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 6,921$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,265.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 16c | 6,698$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.49 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Texas Rangers | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Mariners | 16c | 5,345$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,489.54 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 5,325$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.97 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 3,887$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.92 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 3,655$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.06 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 2,730$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.02 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 2,722$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.27 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Seattle Mariners | 13c | 2,692$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.31 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 2,451$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.07 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 2,058$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.93 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Texas Rangers | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,732$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.77 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,711$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.13 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Texas Rangers | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 1,595$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.72 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,170$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.7 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,169$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.29 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,118$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 1,087$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.77 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 1,040$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.75 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,039$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.83 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Seattle Mariners | 32c | 1,023$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.36 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,014$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.34 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 865.64$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.38 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 800$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 745.87$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.7 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Texas Rangers | 8c | 716.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 706.54$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.82 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 653.78$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 30c | 650$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 633.48$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.28 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 549.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Seattle Mariners | 16c | 539$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.76 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Seattle Mariners | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 490.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 490$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Texas Rangers | 12c | 458.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Texas Rangers | 39c | 458$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.02 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 448.25$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.65 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Texas Rangers | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Texas Rangers | 65c | 381$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 379.33$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.05 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 337.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.38 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…0bf3backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 335.59$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.9 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Seattle Mariners | 78c | 333.8$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 326.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.44 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Texas Rangers | 4c | 325$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 309$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.59 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Texas Rangers | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 296.06$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.99 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 288.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.31 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Texas Rangers | 20c | 272.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 497 | 62.2%309 W · 188 L | +38.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Texas Rangers | 19c | 265.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 254.01$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.01 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Texas Rangers | 78c | 254$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.12 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 252.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Seattle Mariners | 33c | 246$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 246$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.88 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 238.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Texas Rangers | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Seattle Mariners | 16c | 229.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.68 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 224.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Texas Rangers | 79c | 221.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.37 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Texas Rangers | 42c | 202.68$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…037fbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…6f02backed Seattle Mariners | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 199.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 197.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 195$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.