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Tennis · resolved market

Kingston 2: Andrew Fenty vs Luis Guto Miguel

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Luis Guto Miguelof Andrew Fenty, Luis Guto Miguel
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Andrew Fenty21c38,745$8,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,319.679,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Luis Guto Miguel76c10,531$8,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5214,27745%1,925 W · 2,352 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd2…afcebacked Andrew Fenty2c6,896$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.749038.9%35 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Luis Guto Miguel72c6,020$4,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.86,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Andrew Fenty11c3,918$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.224,99238.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L-19.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Luis Guto Miguel72c3,904$2,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.082,34752.1%1,223 W · 1,124 L+86.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Andrew Fenty27c3,721$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.861,56424%376 W · 1,188 L-43.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Andrew Fenty24c3,621$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.4811,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafef…f50ebacked Luis Guto Miguel48c1,716$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.363647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Luis Guto Miguel78c1,413$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.1149352.5%259 W · 234 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb2…126abacked Luis Guto Miguel42c952.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.3825639.8%102 W · 154 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Andrew Fenty23c859.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.325843.4%112 W · 146 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Andrew Fenty53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015050%75 W · 75 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b46…e199backed Luis Guto Miguel78c636.41$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.061560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Luis Guto Miguel78c610.03$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.683,19557.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L+178.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Luis Guto Miguel76c563.15$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.621,78946.3%828 W · 961 L-6.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Andrew Fenty58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2909,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Andrew Fenty11c489.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.286,64946.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L-38.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Luis Guto Miguel61c453.87$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0124759.9%148 W · 99 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Andrew Fenty39c452.16$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.343,35948.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L-49.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Andrew Fenty12c439.18$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2132831.7%104 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Andrew Fenty17c426.3$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4731226%81 W · 231 L-29.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Andrew Fenty36c412.64$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031847.2%150 W · 168 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbbe…ae0ebacked Andrew Fenty26c411.67$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.82619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Luis Guto Miguel73c404.06$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.789845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed Luis Guto Miguel78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.628435.7%30 W · 54 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Andrew Fenty3c379$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3721517.2%37 W · 178 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Luis Guto Miguel62c331.66$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0329257.2%167 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Luis Guto Miguel59c325.27$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2173953.2%393 W · 346 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Andrew Fenty30c321.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3718644.1%82 W · 104 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Andrew Fenty8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2470730%212 W · 495 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed Luis Guto Miguel61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1176435.9%23 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Andrew Fenty39c283.65$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.621,77149.2%872 W · 899 L+58.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Andrew Fenty20c277.44$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8537847.1%178 W · 200 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Andrew Fenty38c270$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.626144.4%116 W · 145 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Luis Guto Miguel76c225.63$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.075,55348.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…3a93backed Luis Guto Miguel78c224.98$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3217246.5%80 W · 92 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Andrew Fenty32c214.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.911,80047.2%849 W · 951 L-45.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Andrew Fenty45c205.22$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.351,05840.9%433 W · 625 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Luis Guto Miguel58c199.98$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9957144.1%252 W · 319 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Andrew Fenty46c195.94$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1329938.1%114 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8204…8fa3backed Andrew Fenty29c191.23$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.184429.5%13 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Luis Guto Miguel75c173.91$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.492,88149.5%1,427 W · 1,454 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9800…adf6backed Luis Guto Miguel56c169.18$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.441833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Andrew Fenty39c168.64$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.314,37652.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L+67.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Luis Guto Miguel68c166$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.134,62667.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L+310.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Andrew Fenty25c134.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.559440.7%242 W · 352 L-24.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Luis Guto Miguel70c126.09$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9130449%149 W · 155 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b35…bdd3backed Andrew Fenty38c118.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.931650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Andrew Fenty43c115.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.995,35228.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L-21.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed Luis Guto Miguel77c106.97$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Andrew Fenty12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1265637.5%246 W · 410 L-33.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Andrew Fenty20c99.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51,92244%846 W · 1,076 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Luis Guto Miguel80c98.38$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8696851.4%498 W · 470 L+26.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Luis Guto Miguel60c92.54$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0265950.5%333 W · 326 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4374…3d05backed Andrew Fenty30c80.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.229545.3%43 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61e1…6b15backed Luis Guto Miguel69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Luis Guto Miguel77c71.96$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7849648.4%240 W · 256 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf091…4a1dbacked Andrew Fenty62c71.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.23658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Luis Guto Miguel73c65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.551,89459.3%1,124 W · 770 L+6.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Andrew Fenty31c64.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Andrew Fenty40c63.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.277,20149.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L+114.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Andrew Fenty23c56.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.211,49643.6%652 W · 844 L-29.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Luis Guto Miguel62c55.26$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211,09152.5%573 W · 518 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26a2…f670backed Luis Guto Miguel74c50.76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Andrew Fenty44c42.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.864,04145.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L-28.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Luis Guto Miguel75c38.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.551,13356.8%643 W · 490 L+54.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Luis Guto Miguel57c36.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8643964.7%284 W · 155 L+24.5wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaba4…3fa6backed Luis Guto Miguel61c34.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.598550.6%43 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Andrew Fenty40c34.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.785,04141.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L-83.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Luis Guto Miguel75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.538365.5%251 W · 132 L-0.8wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eef…5275backed Andrew Fenty34c29.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0238674.6%288 W · 98 L+1.4wins0.00per pick74cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd7…1735backed Luis Guto Miguel68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4114864.2%95 W · 53 L+13.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Andrew Fenty37c28.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.633734.4%116 W · 221 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeca…15e7backed Luis Guto Miguel75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.674575.6%34 W · 11 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Andrew Fenty41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.252,55436.3%928 W · 1,626 L-23.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Luis Guto Miguel78c21.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7179538.4%305 W · 490 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…84e4backed Luis Guto Miguel62c21.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.054211.9%5 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Luis Guto Miguel57c20.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.883138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Luis Guto Miguel60c16.85$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7486850.2%436 W · 432 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Luis Guto Miguel78c15.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3815796.8%152 W · 5 L+40.3wins+0.26per pick71cpaid+34.6%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x06b6…0004backed Luis Guto Miguel78c12.95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.864156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.