Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6206c79c75ed4e2179f5bd6afc4a46331c1a9c7d87bdd69a14dbd4bd5412011d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Yes | 0c | 18,601$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4e…14cfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +357.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb901…9fc4backed No | 80c | 1,860$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.44 | 118 | 83.9%99 W · 19 L | +34.3wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 77+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 12c | 604$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 40c | 376.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 63c | 309$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 46c | 288.12$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 41c | 226$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…eb28backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 30c | 195.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.81 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 194.8$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 33c | 185.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 44c | 177.35$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 39c | 167.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 60c | 162.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 146.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…7b8fbacked Yes | 40c | 145$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 48c | 143.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 141.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed No | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 38c | 136.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 66c | 127.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…c0a7backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 55c | 121.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 18c | 119.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 71c | 117.23$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 10c | 115.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 11c | 109.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked No | 27c | 108.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 76c | 103.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 50c | 100.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…d114backed Yes | 41c | 97.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 45c | 94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 91.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 54c | 84.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 26c | 82.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 81.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 80.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 41c | 80.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 79.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 51c | 74.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 39c | 74.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 53c | 73.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 69c | 72.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 45c | 72.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 61c | 72.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 59c | 71.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 62c | 70.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 60c | 68.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77e…aea7backed No | 60c | 64.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…80a0backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…7023backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +17.3wins | +0.31per pick | 50cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0840…cb52backed Yes | 41c | 53.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7b…5d81backed Yes | 38c | 52.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 48c | 50.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0d…3e25backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed No | 33c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed No | 29c | 48.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed Yes | 42c | 47.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 42c | 47.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 42c | 45.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 34c | 45.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…2914backed No | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…3375backed No | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74fa…7baabacked No | 65c | 42.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 41c | 42.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…2efebacked Yes | 44c | 42.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…bc30backed No | 27c | 42.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed No | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 48c | 39.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 42c | 38.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 38.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 37c | 36.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 58c | 35.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 59c | 34.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…5c65backed No | 58c | 34.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 72c | 33.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…7107backed Yes | 79c | 31.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc053…6041backed No | 64c | 31.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 36c | 31.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 57c | 30.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed No | 71c | 30.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 63c | 30.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 28.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc899…961abacked Yes | 37c | 28.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 64c | 27.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…57c3backed Yes | 45c | 27.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -16.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…50b1backed No | 69c | 25.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 129 | 72.1%93 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d42…a046backed No | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed No | 55c | 23.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 24°C or below on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.