TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Utah Utes vs. Kansas State Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kansas State Wildcatsof Utah Utes, Kansas State Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Utah Utes21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10012364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Utah Utes19c5,302$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.055,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kansas State Wildcats79c3,970$3,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.71,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kansas State Wildcats79c2,801$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.8512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Utah Utes19c2,050$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.510511.4%12 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Utah Utes33c1,891$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62524444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas State Wildcats77c1,781$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.824,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah Utes19c1,714$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.612,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Utah Utes18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Kansas State Wildcats62c1,410$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.846446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Utah Utes23c1,263$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.461,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Utah Utes5c1,250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587646.1%35 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Utah Utes19c1,145$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.142,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Utah Utes1c1,039$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.563993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Utah Utes19c1,014$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Utah Utes22c989.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.622,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas State Wildcats76c915$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.523,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Utah Utes19c409.36$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.786065%39 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kansas State Wildcats75c369.04$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.653,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Utah Utes16c346.89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555018%9 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Kansas State Wildcats61c328.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8748462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Utah Utes16c301.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.531,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Utah Utes15c289.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.315743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Utah Utes17c282.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5629442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Utah Utes14c256.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.836942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0cb…d140backed Utah Utes11c200.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+286.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82c0…013bbacked Kansas State Wildcats61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d79…899abacked Utah Utes42c195.57$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.141540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Utah Utes18c195.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1527955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Utah Utes19c190$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.17040%28 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Utah Utes29c170.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4153646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Utah Utes18c136.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5412617.5%22 W · 104 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Kansas State Wildcats77c133.49$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Utah Utes31c127.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.162,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Utah Utes19c121$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9925436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Utah Utes26c116.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5113550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Utah Utes47c106.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5094036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Kansas State Wildcats68c105.88$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.882,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Kansas State Wildcats50c105.45$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Utah Utes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1919238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Utah Utes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1889146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Utah Utes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Utah Utes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Kansas State Wildcats80c90$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1881453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Utah Utes23c88.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5519332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Utah Utes18c88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0635050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas State Wildcats74c84.34$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.531,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Kansas State Wildcats45c84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.272248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Utah Utes46c78.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2529954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f8c…2157backed Utah Utes19c78.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.912040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Kansas State Wildcats73c78$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.081,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Kansas State Wildcats75c66.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.581,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Kansas State Wildcats78c63.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1170349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked Utah Utes20c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x561e…5670backed Utah Utes37c54.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid+66.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe287…7029backed Utah Utes29c53.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+71.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Utah Utes33c53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3361446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeca…8c27backed Utah Utes22c50.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.999037.8%34 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Utah Utes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Utah Utes41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.096114.8%9 W · 52 L-12.0wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-64%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Utah Utes25c47.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9466831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9280…99b4backed Utah Utes44c47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.684641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9909…b90cbacked Utah Utes22c46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.121020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-67.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kansas State Wildcats71c31.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.091,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef05…4d9fbacked Kansas State Wildcats74c23.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe36b…c180backed Kansas State Wildcats61c21.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x128f…47afbacked Kansas State Wildcats70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.58459.5%50 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Kansas State Wildcats80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.511841.5%49 W · 69 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.