Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62fccf96daadc12886bfac3aa122b85cec459c8a5341d9b16accd05dd1a29aa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 47c | 1,606$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.98 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 47c | 462.85$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.13 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 47c | 431.07$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.43 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 40c | 387.23$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.31 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 54c | 302.04$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 49c | 294.41$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.27 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 44c | 254.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 50c | 243.29$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 43c | 232.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 20c | 210.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 56c | 208.18$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 10c | 203.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 53c | 196.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 51c | 186.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…99d4backed No | 54c | 185.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 169.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 45c | 153$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 11c | 152.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 41c | 151.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.04 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…fcecbacked Yes | 70c | 142.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 54c | 138.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 30c | 112.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 54c | 109$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 47c | 104.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…7a32backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 95.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…6060backed No | 51c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 45c | 94.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 89.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 37c | 88.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed No | 37c | 82.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 39c | 80.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…aa45backed No | 18c | 80.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 50c | 77.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 48c | 76.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 48c | 72.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 52c | 69.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 48c | 65.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 48c | 63.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 43c | 60.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 44c | 59.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 22c | 56.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 56.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 43c | 48.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 49c | 45.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 46c | 44.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 48c | 42.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 56c | 40.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 74c | 39.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 52c | 39.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af3…bcb4backed No | 49c | 34.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 58c | 34.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 53c | 33.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 49c | 32.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 52c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…d801backed Yes | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 46c | 30.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 53c | 29.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 66c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 47c | 26.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…57c3backed Yes | 52c | 25.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -16.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 72c | 24.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 50c | 24.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 50c | 24.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…68d3backed No | 49c | 23.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 52c | 23.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe63a…0679backed No | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…594abacked Yes | 51c | 20.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…e1f8backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 159 | 61.6%98 W · 61 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…dd86backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.