TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Thunder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Clippers, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$437,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$473,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe50d…312cbacked Clippers0c56,354$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.351770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Clippers0c37,466$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4772241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Thunder75c30,000$22,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5003663.9%23 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Clippers16c24,988$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,998.0519350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Clippers17c12,734$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.2996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers42c11,826$4,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,946.113,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Clippers18c11,128$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.3872341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Clippers24c9,214$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232.865642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Thunder69c7,524$5,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.6511842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Clippers30c6,727$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.2249849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Clippers15c6,194$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.0514233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Clippers14c5,827$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.7525138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers30c4,955$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.381,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers23c4,494$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.191,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Clippers14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Clippers34c3,571$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.9947542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Clippers18c2,899$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.9661532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Clippers19c2,653$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.087536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Clippers1c2,556$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Clippers18c2,345$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.0688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48af…15e2backed Clippers18c2,186$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.51838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Clippers1c2,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Clippers1c2,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Clippers41c2,000$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.9936843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Clippers1c1,990$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.681,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Thunder80c1,969$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.86167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Clippers17c1,960$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Clippers27c1,941$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.3216838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c09…8fffbacked Clippers21c1,905$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Thunder61c1,741$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.5230954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Clippers34c1,502$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.7761345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10bd…ce02backed Clippers3c1,450$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf0f…7305backed Clippers19c1,433$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.21944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Thunder64c1,258$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.1627041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Thunder80c1,251$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.123467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Thunder78c1,195$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.9437954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Clippers44c1,166$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.211459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Clippers11c1,146$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505e…5634backed Thunder80c1,105$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2212100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+116.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x853c…37ddbacked Clippers21c1,105$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder73c1,100$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b26…8640backed Thunder80c1,100$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Clippers20c1,005$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Clippers19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Clippers33c997.18$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.1470951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Thunder70c895.6$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.4725957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Clippers28c878.57$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9628256.7%160 W · 122 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5391…e91ebacked Clippers18c803$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Clippers33c787.03$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3345135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x292d…2c8dbacked Thunder75c749.62$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.948946.1%41 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Clippers22c742.02$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.85,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f0…c4e4backed Clippers20c724.08$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Thunder65c722.64$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.833129%9 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Clippers18c665.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8847948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Clippers18c638.42$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6250245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Thunder70c606.74$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0216341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Clippers19c601.72$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3313638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6274…f988backed Thunder77c600$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1405855.2%32 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Clippers18c599.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10813341.4%55 W · 78 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Clippers15c598.91$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.849625%24 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Clippers21c595.24$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510730.8%33 W · 74 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Thunder67c564.99$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.723835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Clippers18c531.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7671747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Clippers19c520.87$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7118628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd715…e8f9backed Clippers27c518.81$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Clippers20c518$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.619845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Clippers4c506$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.61,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Thunder55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Clippers8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404928.6%14 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid+26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Clippers20c500$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.575347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea0d…821cbacked Clippers43c483.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.196642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1625…dfc0backed Clippers27c438.21$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Clippers24c435.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.715947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Clippers25c431.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6911250%56 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Clippers22c420.28$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2437011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Thunder79c395$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9515341.8%64 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5bf…7851backed Clippers40c385$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b1…1daabacked Clippers17c308.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.08837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8047…54f4backed Thunder67c300$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Thunder68c300$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.535165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Thunder73c300$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3214562.8%91 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Clippers21c289.26$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9919650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Clippers21c288.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030331.4%95 W · 208 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f5b…864fbacked Thunder80c285.71$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.142055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Clippers28c268.45$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.481,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c15…5038backed Thunder70c260.39$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1724751.8%128 W · 119 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Thunder65c259.23$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7328657.3%164 W · 122 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Thunder79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1636449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Clippers19c250$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.785542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe91d…81dfbacked Thunder80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504573.3%33 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Clippers20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506640.9%27 W · 39 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7399…1e41backed Clippers19c224.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.723345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Thunder79c223.53$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4714150.4%71 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Clippers30c208.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3818666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8ea6…672ebacked Thunder75c200.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.391844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf8c…eb27backed Clippers20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Thunder70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6014852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd263…e4eebacked Thunder57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.444946.9%23 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Clippers37c172.94$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9917335.8%62 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.